On the geographic front, keep an eye on Turkey - if they close the Bosphorus to Russian traffic, it has the potential for a hot Russia/NATO confrontation
]]>The auto industry is basically a pyramid where OEMs [ie the car companies] depend on module/system [Tier1] suppliers as well as component suppliers [Tier 2] and Parts suppliers [Tier 3]. Those relationships are built on contracts that span out to five years and beyond. Today, contracts are being negotiated for 2025-2030. Those contracts, if happening at all, are being done for much lower quantities of units. After all, an EV does not need a cast-aluminium gearbox assembly. The manufacturers within those tiers are highly competitive among themselves and they know they need to find alternative to manufacture and remain viable well in advance of 2030. For OEMs this means trouble finding components, and paying much higher prices for those than they used to [ie the suppliers are costing in the risks]. This means that ICE car prices will skyrocket at the same time that EV prices go mainstream.
]]>A couple of questions/points on minor characters:
Angleton: I highly suspect we'll see more of him in the series denuement (please!) For all his inherent darkness, he came across as that protective uncle you looked up to when still a kid. The cat: what happened to Bob&Mo's cat?
]]>On the virus itself, there are worrying signs that survivors of the disease show very few antibodies, and these disappear quickly. A vaccine (when/if it is developed) may need to be taken more regularly than the fluvax. A country needs a well developed/accessible/staffed/paid health system to achieve that universally (and the US does not meet the definition)
Re: the US. Don't underestimate the chances of the Union falling apart as the tension between States and the Federal Government becomes unmanageable.
Re: Africa, Russia, Central Asia. Two years from now, those areas may be unrecognisable.
]]>Looking at the Northern Hemisphere mess from Australia (where we have our own Trump-lite) it's difficult to understand why the Labour Party doesn't grab the Remainder banner as its rallying cry.
what's the basis for Labour's stance?
]]>