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• Commented on Update to Public Appearances in a time of pandemic
  That said, a combination of the two tests (positive antibody, negative rna test) might be sufficient as an indicator of recovery. I don't know enough to say what the false positive rate would be for that combination. China takes no...
• Commented on Update to Public Appearances in a time of pandemic
  Seroconversion means the immune system is active and there's antibodies detectable in serum. It means that just because you detect antibodies doesn't mean you aren't shedding virions (being contagious). The other sentence is stating that you can detect viral RNA...
• Commented on COVID-19
  Here is some data from 1100 early Chinese patients. ( scihub PDF). Key takeaways - it is mostly harmless to young people (less than 1% of patients are under 15), the median incubation period is 4 days (2-7 interquartile range,...
• Commented on Story time!
  I'm a bit confused. Are you saying that if someone NOT working for anyone but themselves has to produce a "paycheck" for minimum wage every week/month/whatever? I bet Charlie has months at a time with no paycheck income. What I'm...
• Commented on Story time!
  Yeah, I've had the pleasure of visiting a number of factories in the Shenzhen area. Living and working conditions are strange (to my western experience set) but not bad. The point I was trying to make is that unlike in...
• Commented on Story time!
  For a, all I have so far is micro-chips, and nuclear fuels. Some spices? Medicines come to mind....
• Commented on Story time!
  You see this a lot in SE Asia. Many apartments (especially the ones that you get automatically with any factory job, that are literally perched on top of the factory) are too small to have a usable kitchen (you get...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  The parliament has to accept a SI changing the exit date. This will pass with a massive majority. Government will whip for it, labour will whip for it, SNP will whip for it, LD will whip for it....
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  I had been thinking about where I'd seen the "we're going to sabotage you if you don't get rid of us" message before, and it finally came to me. Two election cycles ago, in the europarl elections, the bavaria party...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  Oh wow, looks like I called it correctly - EU leaders are talking about extension to end of year, and France is requesting a "weighing point" in October where they can tell the UK to fuck off if they're being...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  The noises coming from the continent are basically "we're glad the adults are finally in the room" (refering to the cross-party talks and EU election commitment) "but that's not going to be enough". The most likely outcome in my opinion...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  It appears I was wrong and the toryrrist shits (cash and redwood in this case) did put the amendments to a division, as well as attempting to introduce neutering amendmends themselves. As expected, they were defeated by majorities of 396,...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  The amendments are technical in nature and not in any way substantial - the substantial amendments by torryrist peers were rejected. It's very unlikely anyone will bother putting it to a division, and if they do they will lose heavily...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  News has just reached me that the cooper bill has passed the lords, and is due royal assent....
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  Remember the context is riots caused by brexiterrorists after brexit has been stopped (or watered down). I fully agree with you that it would be much much worse in a no deal context, but that's not what we're talking about....
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  The toryrrists are sending out letters to potential candidates saying they should immediately prepare for the EUparl elections....
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  Police numbers have indeed fallen dramatically since 2011 but it's entirely implausible in my opinion that the size of any brexiterrorist riots will be even 15% of the size of the 2011 riots....
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  An important thing to remember about the 2011 riots is that six people died, a handful of non-police were injured, and it was over in five days. And those riots were ENORMOUS compared to what we can expect from a...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  Also the legal decision about A50 revocation was VERY VERY clear on this point - revocation is unilateral, and possible as long as the UK is still a member state, that is until the very last minute of the A50...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  I think any riots will be violently suppressed immediately. The numbers are quite small (though they are violent and noisy) compared to say 2011 and given that technically the acts of disruption and sabotage perpetrated by that crowd (eurostar blockade,...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  The winning move for May (assuming her deal is out of the game) is a long extension that she didn't ask for. This may well be the outcome of the cooper bill process. That way she didn't do it (those...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  But a childhood of science fiction has led me to understand that cats can walk through walls! (prime ministers, on the other hand, have to either be for turning or not)...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  As I understand it, Serbia has some reciprocal travel arrangements with the EU, about recognition of ID cards as travel documents and visa exemptions and such. The FCO has not rolled those over to a bilateral agreement (likely because it...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
  So here's an exciting option that's just become available because of the toryrrists filibustering the Cooper bill last night. The committee stage and third reading of that bill got moved to Monday, and May used today to preempt it by...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
  And May has requested an extension until end of June, which has already been rejected by the euco once, and is not enough time to do anything useful. On the plus side, she's also committed to holding EU elections, as...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
  Tusk has PROPOSED a year's extension, terminated automatically if WA passes, contingent on a) UK holding EU elections, b) UK asking for such an extension and c) MS agreeing to this plan. If the WA passes during that period the...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
  Eh? This is a simple thing. Americans get chips from a chipper (except blue chips, which they get from a broker). Brits get chips from a chippie. If neither is available, you go to a machinist, whose entire job is...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
  The debate was not in the main chamber, and very exciting shit was happening in the main chamber. This is why it was mostly ignored. However, it was not especially productive. Basically none of the toryrrists showed up. Here's a...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
  Okay, so something major is happening - tomorrow, instead of the indicative votes process, parliament is intending to try and get legislation through - they will reserve thursday for non-government business, debate all stages of a bill, and THEN hold...
• Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
  Oh and in case anyone missed it, Lidington approved "contingency" funding for european elections and asked returning officers to start making preparations yesterday....