Poul-Henning Kamp

Poul-Henning Kamp

  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    Worth noting: The linking of Manning and Assange in the USA's accusations are very likely an effort to make sure that they can both be *at least* punished for "conspiracy to $something". In USA it is a crime to simply...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "asked whether they were happy with the direction the Union was taking" I think a big part of this is that the union is bad at selling itself. The USA constitution does a good job on memory sound-bites, in particular...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    EU has an entire department dedicated to countering the bullshit Murdoch's propaganda machine pumps out: https://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "the only other nuclear power in Europe" You mean except for France ? (And if you want to get picky: USA's B61's stored in various NATO countries.)...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    I wonder if any researchers have collected data on how bookmakers odds and GDP exchange rates have developed throughout all this ? My eye-balling spots only very weak correlation, and I'm pretty sure there is at least one good academic...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "And so I completely reject your attempt to get us to see this as "normal". It's NOT." I hate to correct you on this, but anything which was when you got born is just the way the world has always...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "And where the *fuck* are the internationalist socialists of old?" The last true union-president of that sort in Denmark, Thomas Nielsen, said it in his farewell-address: "The army of hungry workers have taken the car home to their bungalows to...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "All it really takes is a government that wants to do it." And that's the point: Nobody is ever willing to take the big hammer up front. Just like in the 1930ies....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    Seen in hindsight, yes, the 1930ies could have gone better, but think it could have gone much differently in real-time. The level of abstract reasoning and economic modelling required were simply not part of the political landscape of the relevant...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "What happens in event that May stares no deal in the face, blinks, and withdraws A50?" (It may take another tour of the EU courts to find out if that is still a legal possibility once you have gone into...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "Like the only way to discredit the "ideology" behind Hitler in 1932 was to let him win an election and give him a chance to fuck things up?" Wasn't that pretty much what ended up happening ?...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "All of which will drive the Leave camp absolutely batshit about the Dolchstoßlegende by those euro-traitors" This is actually an important detail. The only way to discredit the "ideology" behind brexit is to let them get away with it. Any...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "another round of negotiations starts immediately, either way, to determine the final trading relationships." There is a bit of a difference here. If article 50 section 2 is in play (ie: Parliament approving the EU-May deal), those negotiations can and...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    But the crucial thing is UK has to ask for the extension. EU being willing to offer a long extension (on conditions no doubt) makes no difference if the UK's PM does not ask for it. That's probably the reason...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    Not really that interesting once you get to the bottom of the article: Some 52 per cent of people supported a new vote, 29 per cent “strongly” and 23 per cent “somewhat”, while just 24 per cent opposed, to some...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    The remainers have sort of resigned themselves to leaving by now, and they will be sad about it. If you snatch their victory from the brexiters, they will go mad. So isn't the more relevant question: Will the PM who...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    "Right now it looks like what we may get is extensions by a couple of months" I think that is the least likely of all outcomes, why on Earth would EU do that to themselves ? Macron is being very...
  • Commented on Three pieces of news about the Laundry Files (UPDATED!)
    Kirsten Wiig ?...
  • Commented on Three pieces of news about the Laundry Files (UPDATED!)
    "I have no say in how it's being planned, or even contact with the production company." I talked to an author who did see her work on the TV and she said that it had involved a large number of...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    A general election can indeed be done in 6 weeks, which brings us to the 6th of may. Which leaves the new EU-friendly government and robust Parliamentary majority just 18 days to either arrange for the elections to the European...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    It's an interesting idea. I've always suspected all three countries would be run much more competently if the Norvegians elected a parliament for Sweden, Sweden elected one for Denmark, and Denmark elected on for Norway. I similarly wonder if not...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    It occurs to me that future historians are likely to write about this under the heading "Tragedy of the (house of) Commons"...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    As pretty much everybody involved have been saying all the time: It meant nothing. No-Deal brexit is the default. To avoid no-deal a deal must be approved. Only deal on offer is the one UK's PM has negotiated with EU...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    You are missing the fact that May would triumphantly celebrate the no-deal brexit and not even contemplate cancelling the article 50 notice ? Listen to what she says all the time: The most important objective in her mind is to...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    The judges and auditors in EU have a very generous pension, well north of 100K€, in order to make it a lot harder to bribe them. Once we get into that level of compensation, scaling is an issue....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    It squares fine, short and long extensions are very different beasts....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Parliament can suspend their own rules if they want, so May just have to win two votes instead of one to send the same deal in front of the house again....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Tusk just said no (short) extension unless May agreement approved by parliament. That leaves only four scenarios: 1. Cancel Article 50. 2. Approve Mays deal, optional short extension (what for? The deal is approved...) 3. Use second referendum to ask...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    I think a bigger factor than inaction is that any effort to avoid no-deal, no matter how concerted, wise and well executed, dies on the doorstep if just one single minister out of the 27 says "I'm sick and tired...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    "The EU isn't going to negotiate with a non-democratic leader. They just can't." Thanks to Denmarks constitution EU can, but only in very limited subjects and only for few days, but I doubt they would even want to contemplate that....
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