Bill Arnold

Bill Arnold

  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    I will note that advanced meditators report an experience of something Buddhists call "The Ground Radiance" which is supposedly the most fundamental level of consciousness. Cite? Closest I could find was Radiant Light, Clear light meditation and Ösel (yoga), which...
  • Commented on New Book Week!
    Thoroughly enjoyed Dark State. It was strange to alternate between reading news/etc feeds in TL:0 and reading Dark State. Not sure which I prefer. Probably this time line but it's getting darker and weirder[1], fast. And who knows for sure...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    Of the physics geniuses bios I've read, pretty well all mentioned getting some of their greatest intuitions while resting, taking a break from their primary concern, walking, music, sex, etc. What do you think intuition is? Genuinely curious BTW, about...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    Re the Many-Worlds discussion, I'd be interested in your (including community) opinion of the group of work rooted in J Cotler/F Wilczek, 2015+, on history entanglement, mostly theoretical (and speculative) but with one experimental result, since you've published in the...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Happiness measurements would sharply increase as GDP plummets and advertising virtually disappears, since no one capable of modifying their own hot button response mechanisms would be susceptible to the psychological inducements of marketers. Demand for cultural products like books,...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Maybe it really is unusual, and that is an important reason why so many people are so amazingly, and apparently obliviously, gullible? That comment was good to read and nicely written; thank you. (I agree.)...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Maybe, maybe not. In my lexicon, it means "thinking about thinking". Thanks. The Wikipedia article I linked covers a lot of the various meanings at least briefly. There's even a considerable body of neuroscience work[1] related to "metacognition", mostly about...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Similar things have been noticed since the 1990s. This might have been linked previously but I don't see it: Estimated Effects of Future Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations on Protein Intake and the Risk of Protein Deficiency by Country and Region (August...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    I see no reason to start swimming in shit, so as to "understand" it. You are saying,effectively that I should start reading the Daily Mail/The Sun/listening to faux news, so as to get an alternative viewpoint. No, not if you...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    #535 was a reply to Greg at #529...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Re Gospel of Mary, just read it for the first time, weird material. Christianity could have (originally) taken many rather different forms. For example: 22) The Savior said, All nature, all formations, all creatures exist in and with one another,...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Bottom line: We don't have very positive projections for your abilities to process the Main Line Weapons coming soon[tm] when you can't spot a positive data smog OP done to protect one of your own. You mean #475? That was...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    (Sean, if whatever it was was interpreted as an attack on me, probably it was not from my POV. FWIW.)...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    A bit curious now... (more than usual)...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    This is the Meta-Battle involved around it. OK. Would it be completely off the mark to be thinking about e.g. mapping of H-G social structures (e.g. anti-dominance/egalitarianism-reinforcing practices[1]) to rapidly changing technological societies, and/or about the practices of various utopian...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Likewise, have also missed her voice(s) here. (Hi!) #478 Mirror, Mirror (metaphorical/isomorphic) comes to mind. (It amused me.) #475 Saw Host's talk to German audience. Cute. That was entertaining, and the first time I've heard his voice. (mp3 audio for...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    This post/thread is better/more speculative, but since it's out there (wired.com): Artificial Intelligence Is Killing the Uncanny Valley and Our Grasp on Reality Has some links, including a few papers. Farid imagines a near future in which a convincing fake...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Alien Queen a Disney princess Been imagining little-girl (or boy, perhaps) Halloween costumes since first seeing that (host's twitter). (e.g. an adaptation of something like this, also searches of google images are fun.) (If link doesn't work for people, please...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Actually, I wonder if AI porn can be weaponized. It arguably already is, just in the pursuit of profit and not personalized. Much of the porn currently available is catering to kink genres that have been clearly constructed, via iterative...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Uhm. Well, even if arbitrary video can be faked, it should still be possible to generate records that are credible because they have an audited history. But will anyone outside the court systems care? Blockchain. Just saying. There would be...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Got a kindle copy of Lady of Mazes (K.Schroeder, link above) just to look for quotes, and oh my is it on topic. Looks like it's worth a read-read. Here's a sample quote, retyped: "My humble narrative", said Sophia as...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    It'll probably be built into your smartphone's camera processor in a few years, I recall talking about real-time phone-side cosmetic processing for video chats, both sender and receiver, several years ago with friends. So the idea is out there....
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    While you're looking at war and peace, I recall that Heteromeles linked to the book length version of this, in the past; here's the shorter paper. Worth a read for the non-violence perspective, and if you're interested, follow the refs...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Up to you, but the sagepub.com link, if you hover over the author, has a link to search google scholar for articles by the author, and google scholar shows a researchgate link to a pdf for that (paywalled) piece. (And...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Re "war is stupid", first hit in google scholar was this analytical piece, with some focus on Columbia and Peru. (FWIW I (as a pacifist) had a hard time reading it because the mindset was so different.) Stupid and expensive?:...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    I've had to turn noscript off, I hat the new interface so much. Been using "uBlock Origin" as a stopgap while NoScript is being unbroken. Not sure how good it is though it's blocking a lot of scripts. (My issue...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    ...but we do know that "they" have an estimated 1 MILLION BTC -- worth $11,679,900,000 as of this writing... I heard wild speculation during lunch recently that perhaps Satoshi was dead and had had his head frozen, perhaps related to...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    David L linked it at #494, and I'm sure Charlie has seen it, but if not: Enter the 'petro': Venezuela to launch oil-backed cryptocurrency The Coal Standard earlier in this thread is now a "real" proposal. Oil, not coal, but...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    He was lucky - Volvos and Saabs are specifically designed around moose strikes. I was forced (by the instant fact-check compulsion that was not satisfiable 20 years ago) to do a search on that (true!) and found this as well:...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    And it gets you security against innovations in math. Most crypto is an armsrace of clever, OTP is the refusal to play. This is much less true for block ciphers.. Multiple encryption to be sure. Uhm, you generate one time...
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