Bill Arnold

Bill Arnold

  • Commented on The sudden eruption of news
    (And also Elderly Cynic at #433) ...she is actually a conservative (small c), and most of us have no memory of a government led by such a being. Can somebody explain further what this means in the UK context? To...
  • Commented on The sudden eruption of news
    Buying put options or otherwise betting on falling stocks, then sabotaging Don't recall any stories about physical sabotage (long ago decided to actively avoid active involvement in the markets; too many temptations among other reasons), but manipulation is a feature...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    Tx, that's interesting, happy to be educated. Yes, (US) East Coast person. The link has a stray trailing "." that was easy to miss. http://www.laspilitas.com/classes/Garden_Myths.html If you're being efficient, every once in awhile you need to either get a lot...
  • Commented on The sudden eruption of news
    :-) A favorite, and real. Another more generic one, about scientists vs normal people, can be helpful when trying to explain the scientific mindset to non-scientists. (And sometimes, failing.) https://xkcd.com/242/...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    EEG stuff, OK, TX. By way of explanation I assumed that playing at replicating parts of this paper was OK since it has over 1200 citations: Long-term meditators self-induce high-amplitude gamma synchrony during mental practice (2004). (a recent paper that...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    Sharing a bit of sciency-news (6 Apr 2017), potentially some substantial improvements in drip irrigation cost (including energy, which means solar pumps would be more viable). They claim some sort of stochastic search (GA) for exploring models. Can imagine a...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    This is by way of a question, since the actual study is less than surprising. (Complexity metrics.) Is research related to banned psychoactive substances still happening in the UK? (This is a UK/New Zealand study.) Increased spontaneous MEG signal diversity...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    I'd grant you a century in linear, business-as-usual, time. However, I don't see the century ahead being business-as-usual; I expect a whole bunch of disruptive black swan events Those are all natural black swans. Humans will intentionally generate their own...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    What you'll see instead is a progression of newer, more insane rationalizations: Have you seen the increasing appearances of arguments for geoengineering in (American) "Conservative" venues, or the changes in poll responses about climate change? For the later, here are...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    3? was on the cards, but hey Would be interested to understand how that happened. No active deception. Anyway, all read, and yes. Agree with most of it except don't understand the details or methods backing the projections. Path dependence...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    But the U.S. won't change until we lose Florida, and which point we'll repent like 3-pack-a-day smokers who've stopped believing tobacco company propaganda after coming down with lung cancer at 45. Our job as activists is to make this shift...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    To Charlie, re adversarial images mentioned on Twitter, it is reasonable to expect an advertising image/ad image blocker arms race. (Note I haven't played with/don't know this stuff; just been watching the papers go by, and a older NN guy...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    One is typically required to swear a religious oath to hold public office... Just noticed this; at the US national level at least it is not true; affirmation is acceptable and has roots in accommodations for Quakers, originally in English...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    By the way, what's with this "USian" schtick by the commentators here? I started using it (USAian but close) since the America is potentially a bit confusing, there being North, Central and South America. Also, USA citizens recently collectively did...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    WHAT were you smoking when you wrote that? Something from the 1950s, clearly. But I have no clue what. Just read a much more sophisticated denial piece, Climate models for the layman, Judith Curry Feb 2017. Worth a look, just...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    Ooh, ooh: what replaces consumerism? Why wouldn't consumerism continue to be an arms race? Arms races are notoriously hard to predict, and I rewrote a scenario 3 times before giving up, but the common theme was a fight between maintaining...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    MOAB's in the Desert: not quite the Dune translation they should be looking for Was wondering about that MOAB today. Seemed a bit confused politically. Lots of material from you today, interesting, and read. Tx for the link to that...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    If you are interested, there's recent work on the topic of just how much genetic diversity has been lost over the last 60-150k years (I am, quite intentionally, including Neanderthals, Denisovan and the other three). Of course interested, though with...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    Can't speak for others, but ... not offended/hurt, and disagree with pretty much none of that. Can and do compare numbers. (The 172M US thing is not clear to me.) Just wanted to see it argued well, and appreciate it....
  • Commented on Random excuses
    Re "Tradition and Superstition: The Jinn in the Family Closet" and "Facilitating Possession: Okwui Okpokwasili on Poor People’s TV Room", interesting, and read twice. Am quite interested in this topic, as you have ((obligatory)probably) noticed. No links because I don't...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    (Doesn't take much effort to map this to religion, but I'll refrain. Apologies for length; subject got me a bit worked up.) Catching up on some reading, saw a story about Uber broadly syndicated and discussed: How Uber Uses Psychological...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    They're gonna try and finesse it with a Trump implosion, but hey: not gonna let them get off that easy. Not seeing how an all-out economic collapse helps matters[1]. Explain, please? (Also, they?) Wouldn't mind (to say the least) seeing...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    In case it wasn't clear, I was irritated at self for not thinking to search using semantic distance, e.g. "brain contained by skull or vat or ..." and at least finding the original image, if not the Cicada 3301 stuff....
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    That's an odd image, A crosseyed visual diff (after rescaling) with the original (Skull with Fox and Crows, Sandra Yagi, 2016, oil on panel. Can't vouch 100% for jpeg safety.) shows no obvious diffs except for the odd object overlaying...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    Anyhow, since Mr Arnold has failed in his fox quest, I'll spoil it: someone has been attempting to resurrect the Cicada 3301 puzzle in 2017 and has produced an oddly apocalyptic video, along with incumbent imagery (as described). Yep. Did...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    Some people (G.L. Foster, D.L. Royer, D.J.Lunt) finally did the (obvious in an abstract sense but looks like a lot of interesting work) very scary paper about GHG forcing plus the fact that Sun is warming over time on the...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    Hint: it's a particular part of your Brain. And if it's filled with the above, it can't get used by [redacted]. OK, so (and mentioning dendrites) you're saying one specific brain region. (Sorry, hadn't poked at the god zone hints...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    It being that time of the year (and host linked an arXiv paper on twitter), On the Impossibility of Supersized Machines...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    Ken Binmore (1996), "Evolution of Fairness Norms" Thanks, will start with that (24 pages), then look for critiques that cite it. So many PDFs! [1] (Plus trying to track the USA political show.) [1] Any suggestions (anyone) for PDF viewers...
  • Commented on We get mail (contd.)
    The USS VINCENNES was aggressive. Notably so; among the other USN vessels, the ship was known as "Robocruiser" (not in a good way). Captain Rogers was repeatedly ordered back to avoid confrontation, not provoke it. Did not know that, thanks....
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