Michael Cain

Michael Cain

  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    (Same in the USA, IIRC.) Unemployment figures published monthly by the US government are based on a survey of households. A person is unemployed if (a) they aren't employed, (b) they are available for work, and (c) they have applied...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    It's a good thing the UK doesn't have an extensive system of private radios that would allow someone to coordinate a flash mob to attack a target, isn't it? But they're not peer-to-peer, the traffic all passes through a relatively...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    As I understand where things stand, the UK has only two choices if they actually want to leave: crash out, or sign the current withdrawal agreement. The EU side seems to be rock-solid on not reopening the WA. Watching Parliament...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    The decision last week to require the PM to ask for a postponement of the Brexit date is of course positive but it might not be enough for actually getting it. Unless the Lords change the act on Monday to...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    Oh, that's just nasty....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    Since it has no reference at all, rather than a mangled one, I thought it was a joke -- the non-existent Brexit. [[ it was broken HTML: smart quotes in this case - mod ]]...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    They are tried by the Senate... With the interesting Constitutional question of whether the Senate is required to actually conduct the trial, or if they can just ignore the House action. Having the authority is not necessarily a requirement to...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Friday, default hard Brexit. The government and the EU have already agreed this doesn't happen before April 12....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    As for starting it up again, it would require a new A50 declaration... From memory, so suspect, but I think the ECJ opinion said that if it was clear the revocation of Article 50 was simply a ploy to buy...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Were I trying to roll up a criminal enterprise, I'd go after all the legal persons that are owned by or tied to Trump, and leave the President alone. The New York Times did the groundwork. The Trump Organization is...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    The thing that's interesting is that there aren't any more sealed indictments attached to the Mueller's report. That doesn't mean that he hasn't turned a pile of evidence over to federal prosecutors for the Southern District of New York or...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Extend to 12th April is time enough to go for Ref2 isn't it? My take -- and I'm on the wrong side of the pond, with the wrong set of government experience, so take it for what it's worth --...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    And the offer is in two parts: extend until May 22 IF Parliament agrees to the existing withdrawal agreement next week; and extend until April 12 unconditionally, but the Council expects the UK (Parliament, presumably) to indicate a way forward...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    A few minutes ago Tusk announced that the 27 have reached a unanimous agreement on a response, and that he was off to see May....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Not kidding, a huge volume of UK law basically says "refer to EU law {reference}" and a lot of that will become irrelevant on the date of Brexit. Serious question -- why does that have to change on day one?...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    We're all screwed, aren't we?...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    I took it to be an indication she has advance word about the EU Council, the wheels are about to come off entirely, the Council is going to blame Parliament, and she wanted to get the first shot in....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    I'd been wondering about asking the SNP to form a government. Does there have to be an actual vote by Parliament confirming it, or does it just go into effect until there's a no-confidence vote of some sort?...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Has the Commission not already ruled that the UK can unilaterally revoke Article 50? The European Court of Justice has issued an opinion to that effect. That's where the question was going to be resolved anyway, so I don't think...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    I'm an outsider without an appreciation for any of the real nuance, but for the last several months have been saying that I expect the politicians to bumble their way into a no-deal exit on the 29th. Everyone seems to...
  • Commented on Lessons learned: writing really long fiction
    What's weird about it is that using a geographical featureā€”a river! The Mississippi has had a profound effect on dividing things one way east and a different way west for a long time in the US. The first bridge across...
  • Commented on Lessons learned: writing really long fiction
    Indiana, 1897. The bill was written by an amateur mathematician. It didn't actually claim a specific value for pi*, it claimed to prove that it was possible to "square the circle", and that was used as justification for the state...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    ...so in 2036 they take up a resolution demanding a new Constitutional Convention and the repeal of the 13th, 14th and 15th amendments... Perhaps not that soon, but not too many years after that, I can easily see a Convention...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    AFAIK, there's no automatic requirement to do random sample hand counts to verify the scanners are recording votes accurately. In the US, Colorado's audit process now includes hand-count checks pre-election, post-election, and on a random basis during the actual counting....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    How do you expect the break-up to occur & along waht geographical &/or "racial" lines? Or are you expecting a "Red/Blue" split - which means something like the 3rd US Civil War? East-West, roughly down the center of the Great...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    In a SF context, I expect the biggest split in the US in the late 21st Century (especially if things get worse) to be... For reasons that require a book-length explanation, I expect the first big fissure to be right...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Given the USA's demographic trend towards being majority Spanish-speaking by 2100, I could only interpret refusal to consider admitting PR on linguistic grounds to be a sign of flagrant ethnosupremacism. Yep. I'm not saying multiple official languages can't be done,...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    I predict that statehood for Puerto Rico will stumble over the language problem. The executive branch there has two official languages, but operates predominantly in Spanish. The Commonwealth judicial system operates exclusively in Spanish. Members of the legislature are required...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Trees aren't the only participants when considering the impacts of climate change on where which plants live. I've spent almost my entire life on the edges of the North American steppes, where the trees and grasses slug it out for...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Exactly right -- institutional memory. I would only add that there are two sides to the senior bureaucracy -- the people over on the executive side just below the level of political appointees, and the permanent legislative staff. Note that...
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