existentialistjoy

existentialistjoy

  • Commented on Trust Me (I'm a kettle)
    One possible equilibrium is shifts in law enforcement to adapt to the new circumstances - common place crimes (speeding, IP violations, jaywalking ect) being removed from the books, or reduced to an automated yelling at and a symbolic fine, while...
  • Commented on A deceptively simple question
    I have a prediction that runs counter to a lot of the expectations above. The hard and software piloting cars will be behind air-gap security. At most there will be a heavily restricted and extremely paranoidly coded feed for traffic...
  • Commented on Time tourism
    Well, the obvious thing is to write time travel that isn't about tourism. But most other goals seem really likely to devolve into wish fulfillment power fantasies really darn quick. Although I have, in fact, tried to write the story...
  • Commented on Things publishers can't do (yet)
    Re; all you can eat buffets; For food, you need to remember that the dominant costs for a restaurant are rent and wages. Ingredients bought wholesale are much cheaper than the equivalent bought at the supermarket, so the fact that...
  • Commented on Me, talking
    As long as it is not prone to spontaneous or accident related bangs, how dangerous it is if misused is completely meaningless. There are already a surfeit of ways to kill in the world, adding another to the number is...
  • Commented on What are the big issues of 2013 going to be?
    Mains parity is meaningless - mains cost includes a lot of taxes, and the upkeep on the grid. Not taxing solar kwh's is tax avoidance, and given that distributed production absolutely requires an even stronger and more complex grid than...
  • Commented on What are the big issues of 2013 going to be?
    The problem is that steel, concrete, copper cabling, ect - all the things that turn a photovoltaic cell into a power source, as opposed to a stack of black tiles in a warehouse, do not get 20% price reductions year...
  • Commented on What are the big issues of 2013 going to be?
    Large flat roofs are vastly better for this kind of thing - But even if it happens, this does not imply that residential solar will follow. It is the difference between work that can be done at normal builders rates...
  • Commented on What are the big issues of 2013 going to be?
    Solar costs are at this point dominated by balance-of-system costs. - The cost of the panels themselves is no longer the only thing that matter. This has consequences: 1: retrofit solar rooftop installations are a dead end. The labor costs...
  • Commented on What are the big issues of 2013 going to be?
    Eh.. If the US falls over due to politically induced idiocy, and that causes the EU to run the printing presses... Then that will darn well work. And make the US government look unspeakably bad. "2nd US republic incoming" bad....
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    Aging is not really wear and tear, tough. If it was, we would die *much* younger. Dialing up the repair mechanisms keeping off entropy to the point where they keep ahead of it does not violate any biological laws. I...
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    Cohort studies on immigrants show that the majority adopts the secular values and lack of faith of Scandinavia in less than a decade, regardless of where they are from. Immersion is an extremely powerful persuasive force. The south is hanging...
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    People very highly committed to the ideologies of an era, or a given scientific paradigm are always going to be a very small minority of the population. And out of that tiny minority, most will be able to let go,...
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    Most philosophy about the virtues of death strike me as highly elaborate "sour grapes" reasoning. For one thing, not a single person advancing these arguments ever decides that the perfect length of life is 43 years and commits suicide when...
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    Re: oil. The tesla S just won several automobile of the year awards. Gasoline for personal transport is already dead, it just has not fallen over yet....
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    Eh, moving is not actually needed. Hypothetical: If countries a, b, and c adopt policies that channel the entire tripling of output to the one percent, while country d has everyone work a third as much and otherwise has no...
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    The "wages" worry is wrongheaded. The net effect of this is a society with 2 to 3 times higher productivity per citizen as a result of drastically lowered dependency ratio and improved overall health and energy, and a much lower...
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    Boxers do not age out so much as they accumulate damage. Current forms of boxing might well get killed/outlawed as a result and be replaced by martial arts competitions that do not involve concussions. US football? Also likely to go....
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    Noone is going to lengthen the terms on loans. The increased risk to principal would entail a risk premium sufficient that a longer loan would in no way be significantly cheaper, and binding yourself to contracts that long would not...
  • Commented on The ticking clock, stopped
    Taking it is an easy choice - never mind the living forever part, paying that much money just for youthful vitality and looks is worth it. Changes in plans.. I'd get a heck of a lot more politically active. Causes...
  • Commented on 2512
    Only if the people involved are very stupid. Wars are enormously expensive, and while desalination is not cheap, it is a minimum of one order of magnitude cheaper than engaging in warfare. Also, much safer. Time horizon is a tad...
  • Commented on An interim report from the coal face
    From a certain perspective, the slush pile approach is going to raise, not lower the barrier of entry. In the end, someone will come up with a way to winnow out gold from mountains of dross. And in that steady...
  • Commented on An interim report from the coal face
    What amazon needs is a superior slush-pile sorting.. *cough* recommendation algorithm. But that probably requires getting people to input more data about what they read than "I bought this". It would probably be a good idea to give people 25...
  • Commented on Context is everything
    ... FFS. Keeping runoff-nitrogen out of the oceans is a solved problem - And it was solved not by not fertilizing, but by computer controlled fertilizing machinery, waterway restoration, and green field borders. To the extent agricultural nitrogen still winds...
  • Commented on Context is everything
    Same logic applies. The problem is I keep seeing people just assume that any major disruption of the industrial economy - oil scarcity, international trade, whatever, would inevitably take industrial ag with it, as if it was some fragile hothouse...
  • Commented on Context is everything
    Industrial Ag is going nowhere, for the very simple reason that without mechanization, agriculture moves from requiring 2-3 % of the population to requiring 90%. What that means is that if you have to dedicate 50% of *the entire workforce*...
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