Bill Arnold

Bill Arnold

  • Commented on No comment necessary
    If COVID only spreads through aerosolized droplets in the air,and not off surfaces, why do I need hand sanitizer to sterilize my hands after I touch the surfaces that the droplets landed on, because it doesn't spread from surfaces, right?...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    The original link you posted was the expansion of outdoor restaurant dining - aka people sitting at tables and eating. And that is, while not perfectly safe, reasonably safe and relatively low risk. Read her text though; this is large-scale...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Right. But, as those (real) papers and I said, vitamin D is well-known to be important to the immune system and, as you say, it's cheap and safe. As my wife and I were discussing l;ast noght, the sane thing...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Well this is interesting. COVID-19 and Misinformation: How an Infodemic Fueled the prominence of Vitamin D (pdf avaiable at link) is saying that “Patterns of COVID-19 Mortality and Vitamin D: An Indonesian Study” (I linked it a few months ago),...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Zeynep Tufekci has been a voice of sanity on NPI measures against SARS-CoV-2 transmission for the entire (declared) pandemic. Good read; she does a superb point in time exposition of the issues re minimizing sharing of unfiltered recently-exhaled air. We...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    The eye protection vs SARS-CoV-2 science seems to be speculative and related to this paper, though I do recall a case study of a doctor who contracted COVID-19 even though wearing a good face mask, but no eye protection, and...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Ivermectin binds to quite a few ion channels, Thanks for the Ivermectin thoughts. It was one of the drugs of early interest for SARS-CoV-2, like hydroxychloroquine cheap and a potential magic bullet for people looking for such things. Dumb to...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    FWIW here's the Israeli study, observational, N==7807 with 782 COVID-19 positive. There are some RCTs for Vitamin D supplementation for COVID-19, both prophylyaxis and treatment, in process or recruiting. There are 4+ observational studies(some still preprints) including this one that...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Hadn't posted this. Yeah, churn in the House of Murdoch. Lachlan is now apparently the favored son, but it is not clear; his history is mixed too. "In 1994, he graduated with a bachelor's degree from Princeton University in Philosophy",...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    She's not a bot. For a concentrated dose, see https://twitter.com/ninaturner and look through the replies on a few tweets. (The problem is that the US is an entrenched two party system, with elections often very close.)...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Re the top post, another study, also in JAMA. This one is an autopsy study. Association of Cardiac Infection With SARS-CoV-2 in Confirmed COVID-19 Autopsy Cases (July 27, 2020, Diana Lindner, Antonia Fitzek, Hanna Bräuninger, et al) Results Cardiac tissue...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Now. We have to go harvest Murdoch, and that fucker has some seriously [redacted] shit. Kissinger too. Those guys are both ... slippery. If Murdoch and the worst of his crotch-fruit lose political influence levers I and much of the...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Not in the Book, nice umbrellas though. Good (not perfect) distancing and mask discipline too. With the hot dry air and sun and umbrella-colour social bubbles, it's possible that nobody will get infected while in such formations....
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Gohmert is not known for his intelligence: Louis Buller "Louie" Gohmert, Jr. (born 1953) is a Republican Representative from Texas (first elected in 2004) and an accomplished idiot. He continues Texas' long, well-deserved reputation of electing eminently stupid people to...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    That JAMA Cardiology paper and other such work should be sufficient reason to cull the leadership of countries that have failed in their SARS-CoV-2 pandemic response, particularly with those with a deliberate lack of urgency about reducing R0. (That certainly...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    For those interested in computer security issues: Survey of Supply Chain Attacks (Bruce Schneier, July 28, 2020) Bullet point headings from a (quoted) summary of a report on computer (software) supply chain attacks: Deep Impact from State Actors: Abusing Trust...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    Weird coincidences, n'cest pas? Check the Time Stamps Server entropy sources, /dev/random, mmmm. (Re time and causality, it's hard to do major mental schema changes live without drugs, and risky regardless of method. (Fun though.)) Has anyone yet played with...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    Saying "I'm a libertarian" is the way a Republican lets you know that they're educated enough to read either Rand or Heinlein and discuss alternate ideas of how to own property. I am shallow and found this amusing: Ayn Rand’s...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    This matters to some people here. The public narratives, and hopefully policies, are catching up with science. This is about fomite/indirect contact transmission of SARS-CoV-2, namely that it is extremely rare and there are no solid case studies, and that...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    You demean us Ah sorry badly written. I was just a bit surprised that there was a possible hint about where (very approximately, like a few thousand kilometers) your eyes were; you're almost always quite careful. I was just asking;...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    Go aficionados tend to disagree. Some get quite misty-eyed about the imaginative boldness of some of the moves made by AlphaGo and AlphaZero. And this time it is emphatically not down to a brute-force tree searching (a la Deep Blue)....
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    miniature Empress body Dragonflies do not move like butterflies. To be clear, given that loose description I would offer a particular species id in the Odonata but not in the Anisoptera. Pterostigmata on the black wings of the males present...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    Whelp, they hexed the Moon and the Fae. I almost replied to the long twitter thread on that when it happened. Not my place, so I didn't. Yeah, newish moon. My favorite time of the lunar cycle. impossible dragonfly... Black...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    An analysis of the Israeli experience with opening schools then deliberately allowing lapses in NPI discipline. Worth a look; a lot of countries including the US are struggling with school reopening planning. A large COVID-19 outbreak in a high school...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    the GRU hacking of the DNC and Podesta, The US intelligence community doesn't know (or won't tell us) who the Shadow Brokers were(are). Attribution is hard. Talent is distributed. There are many actors, and not all of them are state...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    There was a breach of the State Department (and White House) unclassified email systems detected in 2014 (after Clinton left the SD position): State Department's unclassified email systems hacked (November 17, 2014) There's no reporting (that I've found) except that...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    Re the discussion about words for blue upthread, I just watched a glorious bright horizon-to-horizon double rainbow, and TBH, blue was not obvious. Red/orange/yellow/green/something. The Hawaiians may have a point. (Blue is obvious if you use a glass prism on...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    Hillary and her stupid decision to run a private email server when Sec. State, Out of curiosity, did you ever hear of this bit, buried in paragraphs 11-12 of Hillary Clinton's Email Was Probably Hacked, Experts Say (2016/07/07, maliciously (IMO)...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    Re the Portland protests, might not see this in the UK/non-US news. (I'm 3 time zones away; it's not local to me either.) Portland Protest Moms, the "Mom Bloc" (video): Moms sing lullaby “hands up please don’t shoot me” pic.twitter.com/GJhj8ymn12—...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
    So a tale of the pervasiveness of falsehoods. (Sorry about the length.) Back a few threads ago, Dirk mentioned that the CDC said that the IFR (Infection Fatality Ratio) for COVID-19 was 0.26 percent. This was a sort of true...
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