Bill Arnold

Bill Arnold

  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    Men here. Can you move your willies like octopuses do? You know... motile and stuff. 'Cause if you can't, there's a new species in town. Since it's important: no, but HSS male sexual imaginations can be fairly vivid and wild....
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    Thanks, hadn't seen that Peter Watts post. A new piece in New York Magazine by David Wallace-Wells is good (i.e. well-written) too. I was hoping he'd write about the California fires, and he delivered. In California, Climate Change Has Turned...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    Another thing, what makes you think that China CAN disarm North Korea? I agree, any such moves would be quite risky, and I'm sure DPRK has gamed them out, and added more uncertainty where appropriate. I just quoted that article...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    While the statement "every new nation getting nukes increases the risk of a nuclear war" is true theoretically, it has not proven itself to be true in real life. Uhm. Do you have statistics to support that, e.g. perhaps from...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    They really are going to crash it all. They will try. Mr President himself has even given up pretending The DJT personality package and doubt don't get along well. Yeah, reading attentively. (Heart still in gutter fwiw.) Still chewing on...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    Something I'd totally use if I were an autistic mage would be a portable containment grid that I could vanish into if the outside world got too loud. My kit includes earplugs plus high-end over-ear shooter's muffs, and improvised blinders...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    She of Many Names! Glad to see you again - I was a tad concerned when you just vanished. Likewise. Heart has been in the gutter (work and etc) and that cheered me up. Ὠρίων - Time to fight, yes....
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    Just saying (thanks for the clear warning though, I avoided reading further): Antarctica scientist allegedly stabs colleague for spoiling the endings of books (Just downloaded kindle edition.)...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    They are a disaster when people have to use the telephone, or for people with impaired hearing, or if anyone has a persistent cough etc. Not sure you've seen one of these contemporary open offices. Huge rooms full of long...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Re drugs, new paper today caught my eye: Exploring the effect of microdosing psychedelics on creativity in an open-label natural setting (Open access, 25 October 2018, pdf) We found that both convergent and divergent thinking performance was improved after a...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    There's a developing theme to the effect that the column of scary Spanish-speaking brown people headed toward the US border just before the Nov 6 elections was initiated by some recent Facebook postings in Honduras. Source for this? I'm not...
  • Commented on Crib Sheet: The Delirium Brief
    What could be wrong with telling an AI to satisfy human values (through friendship and ponies)? That was fun, and short, and a far better narrative than the boring paperclip maximizer tales. I was particularly amused by the (allowed, even...
  • Commented on Crib Sheet: The Delirium Brief
    both the Mandate and the Sleeper could be competing bootstrap routines for the same ultimate horror thing. Now you're getting into the spirit it of. :-) Imagine a world where such bootstrap routines sometimes end up with something other than...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Yup. Y'know, there was a reason the UK decided, a year or two ago, to go with "nope", when they couldn't be assured that UK gov't data would only reside on UK gov't soil. What Unholyguy said at #1128. And...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Might not be people you’d invite to dinner, but still. Depends on how hungry you are. [1:18 - it's obvious, sure; feeling a bit dark tonight.]...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    I'm not sure whether you're trolling. For instance, Arctic sea ice average September extent 1979-2018: http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/files/2018/10/Figure3.png And there are plenty of similar trends, if you want to stick purely to observational data and ignore the multitudes of models that earnestly...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Check out Karl Schroeder's "Lady of Mazes". The differing consensus realities are mediated by augmented reality... Seconded, strongly. I think of that novel (the Archipelago sections) every time I think about present day individualized filter bubbles, even just kill files...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    The East Germans and Russians attempted to train for this using autogenic techniques, among others Interesting comment, thanks. I found autogenic training as a teenager (pamphlet on a friend's bookshelf) and it was very helpful but I nowadays prefer the...
  • Commented on Media Piracy and Unpronounceable Names
    I'm re-reading Scorched Earth Society, short essay, 2014, available online in pdf Thanks for that. (pdf link) Fun, provocative talk. I think Peter Watts underestimates what could be done with cloud data storage services. Without examining existing work[0], which...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    If anyone needs a dose of futurism[0], this is worth reading, not least because YN Harari is an engaging writer and has a decent eye (albeit a bit abstract) for possible futures. It covers themes that have been well covered...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    Wanted: One Kraken, 8-10 tentacles, no clothing Only question, why this? No clothing on the Kraken (US Air Force, FA4418-18-Q-0103 )...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    It is enough to say that the negative effects of it eventually echoed back at US and Japan in the form of other major safety drawbacks and economical losses. I am not sure what you are saying here. From my...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    So far, nobody has identified enough evidence of huge environmental damage towards population in contaminated areas, that is, the chance of tumours or mutations had not exceeded the statistical error for unrelated events. Cancer consequences of the Chernobyl accident: 20...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    For Greg and others: Creationism and conspiracism share a common teleological bias (20 August, 2018) Entirely not surprising. Teleological thinking — the attribution of purpose and a final cause to natural events and entities — has long been identified as...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    There is some fuzzy speculation here (google translate does OK, though it translates the Russian word for moderator to "retarder"), don't know how grounded in reality, that it might a Am-242m reactor; that isotope has a very high thermal cross...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    Re relative safety, I've linked this previously (with a different url). It's old but suggests that safety practices and changes in them over time are important, and figure 6 reminds us that the tails are important. ACCIDENT RISKS IN THE...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    Off topic, a fascinating article on aspects of Putin's announcement a while back of new nuclear weapons: A Russian Nuclear Cruise Missile? (Cheryl Rofer. She has a good (albeit cautious) eye for politics too.) via Greg might like the picture...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    You (and others in this subthread) might be interested in this, which suggests that Homo Sapiens females at some point started rejecting hybrid male fetuses if I'm reading it right (don't know this field): The Divergence of Neandertal and Modern...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    The politest thing I can say about him is that he didn't get environmentalism. City person, perhaps. He did get climate change, though, and was/is definitely concerned about it, and was known to occasionally bring scientific papers to briefings (haven't...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    For Greg and other butterfly fans (me!), just for the sheer prettiness of the diagram (from a paywalled Feb 2018 paper, via): Dated Phylogeny Inferred Using Maximum Likelihood for the Full Dataset "This tree represents 207 species out of some...
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