cdodgson

cdodgson

  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    The *real* money in London might have put crude, drooling bigots in power on the theory that they would be easy to manipulate -- only to find out that that theory is wrong. Wouldn't be the first time. German industrialists...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    EU leaders are talking about many things. The French have always said they'd accept a long extension if the request came with a concrete plan for how the British would use the time -- the new part is the idea...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    Point of order: the Cooper-Letwin bill requires May to seek an extension, but it does not, and cannot, require the EU27 to grant it -- so a "no deal" exit is still possible regardless. Worse, it does not require the...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    Per Lord Adonis on Twitter (yes, there is a Lord Adonis, and he's an active Remainer), there were some amendments in the Lords, so the Commons has to approve those before Royal Assent. Not having followed Parliamentary procedure much, I'm...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    All sorts of odd things about May's video -- even at the most superficial level, with the continual shakes from apparently having been shot on a hand-held phone. As one wag put it on Twitter, is the UK already reduced...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    One other aspect of Brexit which is, I fear, getting underplayed in the British press is that whether Britain exits the EU with May's deal (the Withdrawal Agreement) or No Deal, that doesn't end the process of negotiations with the...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    ... the EU27 will probably prefer not to be seen wielding the axe - for them it is better to set clear and reasonable limits and let the UK do it to themselves. Part of the UK's problem is that...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    ??? Cherry's proposal doesn't do any of that either; I'm really not sure where you're getting it. The full text of Cherry's motion appears here, as motion (G) https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201719/cmagenda/ob190401.htm Searching for Cherry's name is probably the easiest way to find...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    For what it's worth, even the emerging hard-line block among the EU27, led by France, is contemplating a very short extension (like, two weeks) preceding a no-deal Brexit, "to prepare ourselves in the markets" (according to a diplomatic wire of...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (2)
    The SNP MP Joanna Cherry has been trying for a few weeks to get a vote to require A50 revocation (i.e., abandoning Brexit) if a no-deal cliff were approaching. Most recently, a version of this proposal was one of the...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    The transport system in Venice is the one thing in Venice that isn't seriously endangered by rising seas -- everything larger than a handcart in the central city moves by boat already, aside from trains and buses that come over...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Well, time to amp up the craziness. May has decided (per FT reporting) that if her deal doesn't pass, No Deal is her preferred alternative -- regardless of the non-binding Commons vote directing her to avoid it. Or, for that...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Later reports on Macron's current position are ... more nuanced; here's a HuffPo story suggesting that he'd agree (probably grudgingly) to a long delay for a referendum or election, but not to let Parliament just thrash around more (which is...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    Further note on the backstop: the net effect is that, in the final version of the agreement, Britain has to stay in the customs union until the EU and Britain agree on a better idea. Hard Brexiteers find this objectionable...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    One odd thing about that proposal for a second referendum (both in the change.org summary and the longer, presumably original proposal from the Independent): it suggests a referendum on the final deal, but does not say what the proposed alternative...
  • Commented on Happy 21st Century!
    One possible example of hands-off genocide happening already: the deal that southern EU countries have with the government of Libya (well, with one of the armed factions claiming to the be the government of Libya) to capture refugees who are...
  • Commented on Rejection Letter
    The techie who activated the "kill switch" thinks it probably wasn't meant to be one. Instead, it may have been intended as a measure to frustrate analysis. As background: if you're an analyst trying to counteract malware, you want to...
  • Commented on Some notes on the worst-case scenario
    Technical correction: the United States Senate is a gerrymander, done avant la lettre. The idea of giving all states two Senators, regardless of population, was put in place with the deliberate intent to give states with few voters disproportionate power....
  • Commented on Policy change: future US visits
    Most of what people on the Left have point at is really weak when it comes to impeachable offenses, they aren't going to make history by being the first to remove a President from office - from their own party...
  • Commented on Policy change: future US visits
    I don't know about the 15 generations part, but property-deed restrictions on land sale to disfavored ethnicities have a long history in the United States. They were deemed unenforceable in 1948, but many still remain on the books....
  • Commented on Policy change: future US visits
    FWIW, if you're considering buying a disposable Android device, prepaid Android cellphones in the US are dirt cheap these days; you can buy one for under $30, plus perhaps $20-$40 for one month's airtime, a few hundred SMS messages (yes,...
  • Commented on "You're only supposed to blow the bloody doors off!" 2017 continued.
    France can only manage one state of emergency at a time? That's why they're a waning power. The United States is up around thirty... http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/22/president-obama-states-of-emergency/16851775/...
  • Commented on "You're only supposed to blow the bloody doors off!" 2017 continued.
    "Trump's phone call with the *Taiwanese* government." Yowch!...
  • Commented on "You're only supposed to blow the bloody doors off!" 2017 continued.
    Oh, one other missing flash point: China, Taiwan, and the South China Sea. Trump's phone call with the Chinese government hasn't had any lasting consequences yet -- because he's not in power yet. But even Chinese doves are saying, on...
  • Commented on "You're only supposed to blow the bloody doors off!" 2017 continued.
    Missed opportunity for drama: 25th Amendment removal of a sitting President is a more drawn-out process than that, if the President being removed doesn't actually want to go (and is conscious enough to say so). If the President contests removal,...
  • Commented on Playtime is over
    And there's still a housing market in California with all that legalese, not to mention drought, raging fires, etc? I do not understand this mentality at all. If you want to boggle at irrationality in real estate: there's still a...
  • Commented on More obligatory author shilling
    Not sure if you're still planning a get-together afterwards, but if so, might be best to find a spot closer to Pandemonium than CBC -- the streets are clearer than they were a few days ago, but still awfully messy,...
  • Commented on Not a Manifesto
    I'm not sure airships are any more energy efficient than airplanes, unless you run them much slower than even their 200 kph top cruising speed. They get to stay up for free, but they're much bigger than a plane of...
  • Commented on Not a Manifesto
    Current prices for saffron are in the range of $15,000-$18,000 per kg. I'm guessing it used to be more expensive. As another benchmark on how things used to be different, pineapples were something like 5000 pounds in 18th-century London; by...
  • Commented on Not a Manifesto
    ...if you'd been "Ministry of Supply" in, say, 1942 and I'd come to you saying "I've got this idea that needs research, but if it works will make thermionic valves for radio and radar 100 times smaller and lighter, 10_000...
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