Ioan

Ioan

  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    As I see it, the US is more likely to go through a Cold Civil War than an actual war. "at which point the same mechanism as currently holds when everyone discovers that they've got at least one, and possibly...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    "Considering that US politicians are so busy with their own electoral cycle..." This is why lobbyists set so much policy. Politicians need money for their elections. As the saying goes: "he who plays the piper calls the tune". "In any...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    You're assuming that US generals have any say in how these treaties are modified? My reading over the past few decades is that the politicians and lobbyists deciding these treaties have completely ignored the generals. Let me give you an...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    I had misread your comment, sorry....
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    Another thing, what makes you think that China CAN disarm North Korea? When I lived in Japan, the consensus I picked up was that North Korea was building its nuclear arsenal as a way to blackmail China just as much...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    I'm going to become a boogeyman for saying this, but Japan and South Korea getting nuclear weapons doesn't change things. While the statement "every new nation getting nukes increases the risk of a nuclear war" is true theoretically, it has...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    Thought you guys may want to know these tidbits: Around 5% of humanity lives in the top 20 megacities. Around 10% of the US population lives in megacities. https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2018/10/urban-21st-century-and-megaurban-22nd-century.html China and Australia are battling for influence in the Pacific https://www.businessinsider.com/china-influence-pacific-western-countries-push-back-2018-4...
  • Commented on Happy Halloween!
    I have a question for those of you who are complaining about the results of the midterms: what exactly were you expecting to happen? The consensus before the midterms was that Dems would take the House while Repubs would expand...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Let me play devil's advocate and assume it's not sabotage. I'm too young to have lived through the late 70s, but didn't a lot of institutions go through a mess before the neoliberal revolution? Brits called it "the winter of...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    That might be true for your kid, but let's look at the evidence. 1. In the early 2000s, there were three dreams: tech utopia (singularity), finance, and improve the world through the free market. The latter one was that you...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Your belief that 1 Billion is the optimal population, you're totally wrong in my opinion. Many of you have already seen these arguments, so sorry for the repeat. 1. Latin America was ~25 million in that time. Before Columbus, it...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    I've been catching up on comments. If we're counting the rate of the spread of ruins, then we're not in a civilization collapse. Your examples are more stereotype than reality. 1. Iraq: the fighting since the second gulf war was...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    I know I'm beating a dead horse here, but here are some pictures of Bolsonaro's supporters https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2018/oct/08/brazil-election-2018-polls-close-after-chaotic-and-unpredictable-campaign-live?page=with:block-5bba90b4e4b0494d8052c39a#block-5bba90b4e4b0494d8052c39a He's appealing to similar demographics that Trump is. Most of the people in the photo probably consider themselves white as well. Here's a...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Since we're talking about privacy, it seems that airports are starting to move towards facial recognition. https://www.bbc.com/news/business-45628825 The thing is, I don't think that this would actually save time. When flying, the times I had to queue were 1. Checking...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    To change topic back to AIDS, apparently there are new drugs that can eliminate the contagious nature of AIDS: https://www.businessinsider.com/hiv-transmission-us-could-end-span-few-years-2018-9...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    "and the average American 200 years from now will probably have dark, very curly hair, light-brown skin, and the slightest hint of an epicanthic fold." Likewise, "it is entirely possible that White people will essentially go extinct in the next...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Here's an interesting article talking about automating manufacturing in India. https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-09-26/machines-are-coming-for-india-s-unwanted-factory-jobs?srnd=opinion What's interesting in that article is that workers prefer to work for a gig-company such as Uber (or its Indian equivalent) instead of working for factories....
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    I've heard this current unpleasantness referred to a Cold Civil War. Personally, I think that the name's a stretch. However, what would an actual cold civil war look like?...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    "You need to look at India's place in the world if you think demography is destiny." What's this supposed to mean? I never said that Africa would unite and become a superpower. India is increasingly driving more world affairs, just...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    "If Solar Updraught Towers are such a good idea - & the idea has been around for a LONG time now ( I saw a proposal back in the 70’s I think ) then why has at least one not...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Something that has not been mentioned in around 200 comments is Africa. Basically, the latter half of the 21st century will be an African century. Africa will have ~4.4 billion of the ~11 billion humans alive at that time. In...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Oops, hit send too soon. The thing that's not written about is that there's an assumption in current SF to think that only one of these systems is stable and can survive. What if they all do?...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    1. One thing that hasn't been done in a while is shape shifting. I mentioned previously that I read a book series in the 90s called Animorphs, where you have this technology that allows you to "absorb" the DNA of...
  • Commented on "I doubt me an it be commercial."
    I know I'm late to this conversation, but didn't Roman Britain have below-replacement level fertility for about a century before collapsing? Also, here is a good summary of British ancestry. https://blogs.ancestry.com/ancestry/2016/09/19/how-british-are-you-dna-study-reveals-uks-ethnic-diversity/ Close to 1700 years later, the largest Saxon ancestry...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    In other news, guess who has joined the new "Scramble for Africa" https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2018/sep/11/russias-scramble-for-influence-in-africa-catches-western-officials-off-guard I was intrigued by the idea that they're building a naval base in Eritrea instead of Djibouti. Still, it's better than the Somaliland idea. Pity that they're...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    I think I should clarify a position. When I keep saying that Russia's future is going to be more Asian, I'm not necessarily talking about China. While I think that the future could be limited to two or three great...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    Since Russia has become a strange attractor recently, here's an article about Russia's activity: https://www.businessinsider.com/heres-how-russias-making-itself-a-major-player-in-chinas-backyard-2018-9 Note that they get Russia's population completely wrong, and they use a very specific definition of the Far East that conflicts to what most Westerners...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    Since Russia seems to have become a strange attractor recently, let me link to an article about Russia's activities in Southeast Asia. https://www.businessinsider.com/heres-how-russias-making-itself-a-major-player-in-chinas-backyard-2018-9 This article gets both Russia's populati...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    White paint is probably doable. However, I don't think that green roofs are as likely as you may think. Newer buildings were designed to be as cheap as possible. Thus, I don't think that the roofs were designed to handle...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    "(Do not see why agro vs. industrialized economy would be a factor in this weird demo because the Afghan-Soviet war used up/wasted Afghani agro resources while using up/wasting industrial resources for the Soviets. Therefore each side wasted mostly whatever economic...
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