Ioan

Ioan

  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    Looks like the Chinese government's ghost cities are starting to have new life. Ordos, the largest ghost cities is now thriving post-pandemic https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Society/China-s-largest-ghost-city-booms-again-thanks-to-education-fever They did it by moving the good schools to the city, forcing parents to buy homes in...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    In my opinion, this lander contract might be half sincere/half cynical. The cynical part is that it might be an attempt to tie the fate of Starship to SLS/Orion and Gateway to head off an attempt to cancel those projects....
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    "So - what type of urban planning (incl. housing) do you need to have in place in order to be ready for the next pandemic? " Impossible to say. It's my understanding that most of the COVID spread in the...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    @521 "House prices have been going up since COVID in my neck of the woods. If this is also happening in the UK, it's going to make it even tougher for younger folk/young families to afford a house. So maybe...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    "They tear down nice places, and put up cheap (and overpriced) crap." This is relatively rare. Most new construction is either new suburban housing, tearing down the very early suburbs, tearing down some half-rotten wooden structure (most popular construction material...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    I should also address WFH and energy usage before someone brings it up 1. The company I work for, and the company my brother works for plan to abandon full WFH once the pandemic ends. They want to go to...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    I was wrong: 3 new nuclear plants have/are being built been built. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_commercial_nuclear_reactors#United_States https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=228&t=21 Looking around, the last coal plant built in the US opened in 2011. https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2020-02-04/coal-power-plants-western-us "But you might have one new larger way more efficient plant replacing...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    "Yeah, nope. (Shale oil is collapsing due to renewables undercutting all fossil fuel, with a side-order of depressed demand due to COVID19.)" This statement is not true for a lot of reasons 1. US energy use has been flat since...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    1. Sanctions on selling civilian aerospace material to China would also hurt them. 2. It's not just the foundry. All the leading semiconductor equipment companies are US allies https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semiconductor_equipment_sales_leaders_by_year I know that China doesn't have an equivalent to ASML, I...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    @302 "Russia may be another matter. The problem here is that the country is a kleptocracy, and I suspect that the nature of such things is that after you've stolen everything that's stealable in-country you go looking for excuses to...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    I should apologize for doing such poor quality control on some of my posts. I've been too rushed today, and have to remember that some of my high school history classes were trash (very pro-Confederate)...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    Charlie, please delete this post. The part about Teddy Roosevelt is pure nonsense. I think my general point is correct, but I conflated the 1912 election, and incorrect memories of TR's position. This should teach me to pay more attention...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    "Give the U.S. a war where the military is accomplishing something that can be successfully sold as good policy and the U.S. public will get behind them with an 80-95 percent approval rating." On thinking about it more, I think...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    "With regard to Taiwan, aren't they officially under the U.S. "nuclear umbrella?" Or is that not the current policy?" Officially, the US recognizes One China. They refuse to say whether they recognize the ROC or PRC as the legitimate government....
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    "Give the U.S. a war where the military is accomplishing something that can be successfully sold as good policy and the U.S. public will get behind them with an 80-95 percent approval rating. I think that keeping China from gobbling...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    I don't know about the UK, but for many people in the USA the house is a significant asset in retirement. Even if medical care is free, it's only normal that their main concern is 'do I have enough to...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    While all of that is impressive, in my opinion the real determinant is tolerable casualties. The impression is that the US can only accept between 5k (Iraq) and 58k (Vietnam) KIAs before they abandon the mission. Europe can accept even...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    I'll answer this. They have tested the weapons. However, there's war-game tests, and then there's real life. To give an example Saudi Arabia a few months ago successfully intercepted a Houthi missile fired at Riyadh. Houthi missiles ARE more primitive...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    "Secondly, there's more than missiles to conquest: the missiles might be useful against the RAF Typhoon squadron at Stanley, but completely beg the question of what happens a couple of weeks later when a pair of Astute-class SSNs show up...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    Here's why I was asking: I doubt that Xi would invade Taiwan unless he did a Spanish Civil War-style test of his weapons systems. This is the only scenario I could come up with that wouldn't trigger WWIII due to...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    Outside of most of Africa, the Middle East, and Central Asia, most of the rest of the world is at or below replacement https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_dependencies_by_total_fertility_rate#/media/File:TFR-HighRes-2020.png...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    Since the conversation has moved on. 1. Currently, SpaceX has 1380 Starlink satellites. How long until Starlink satellites comprise the majority of active satellites in orbit? I've seen that there are 2400 active satellites in orbit, but I'm not sure...
  • Commented on Official Announcement: April Fools Day is Cancelled
    "And unless someone finds a way to magically teleport those photovoltaic electrons, they're going to be utilized near to where they're produced, which means: industrialization ..." Charlie, I was with you until this statement. With the possible exception of the...
  • Commented on Official Announcement: April Fools Day is Cancelled
    Please read more closely, I was referring to Russia with that comment. But you do point out why Japan, South Korea, and ASEAN are unwilling to sanction Myanmar. They're hoping to replicate a lot of that production within the Indochinese...
  • Commented on Official Announcement: April Fools Day is Cancelled
    "Submarines, and particularly boomer subs, are similarly vulnerable. A big part of their function is in being hidden. That has worked for a long time, but I think we are moving into a period where hiding anything anywhere is going...
  • Commented on Official Announcement: April Fools Day is Cancelled
    When cruise missiles became good, they essentially obsoleted the tank as a vehicle of open-country warfare. Yet, the tank is still indispensable in urban warfare. The aircraft carrier still remains immensely valuable militarily against an opponent that can't sink one....
  • Commented on Official Announcement: April Fools Day is Cancelled
    I'd say that China isn't looking for lebensraum. They're looking for Anschluss or "Restore the Roman Empire". They've largely given up on populating "empty" regions. China's population is set to peak in 2030 (My ex-girlfriend doesn't believe this too be...
  • Commented on Official Announcement: April Fools Day is Cancelled
    In other news, an HIV vaccine candidate has shown great promise in preliminary phase 1 trials - 97% of subjects had antibodies https://abcnews.go.com/Health/research-shows-promising-development-hunt-hiv-vaccine/story?id=76904202...
  • Commented on Official Announcement: April Fools Day is Cancelled
    Ok, then I was wrong, and I apologize....
  • Commented on Official Announcement: April Fools Day is Cancelled
    I hadn't read the articles in question, I took SFReader's words for it. He was the one who made the claim. If the article doesn't exist, then I apologize. That sentence was a direct quote from post 324....
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