Ioan

Ioan

  • Commented on New Book Week!
    I have a question. How is the Commonwealth divided in terms of rich areas and poor areas? I'm assuming that the rich cities are found: 1. Along the North American coasts (proximity to trade with Europe/Asia) This is OTL New...
  • Commented on New Book Week!
    I have a question. Suppose the Commonwealth were to launch a spysat in TL2. How exactly will it be allocated an orbit? It is my understanding that orbit allocation is negotiated; you can't just launch a satellite in whatever orbit...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    I forgot about this comment. "The lead-damaged generation in the US is 45-65 years old right now. This is also the age range of maximum political power, similarly the upper management of most organizations is in that range." By capping...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    Two things 1. This article is an interesting surface discussion on the niche Twitter occupies. This author believes that Twitter acts as a wire service, which is why it managed to survive while other social networks competing with Facebook withered....
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    I think that China wants to replicate the US/Australian massive agriculture policies. Don't forget that both countries have fewer workers per land area than Europe. In other words, their agriculture is more automated. I could see why that would appeal...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    Not this canard again. First of all, the quoted figure is around 1 million Chinese people in Africa https://qz.com/217597/how-a-million-chinese-migrants-are-building-a-new-empire-in-africa/ First, it's questionable if that number is even true? http://africanarguments.org/2016/12/19/we-may-have-been-massively-overestimating-the-number-of-chinese-migrants-in-africa/ Let's assume for the sake of argument that it is true....
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    That list is it!? It's my fault I didn't try and find a list of "ghost cities" earlier when I first heard about it. From the looks of that list, it looks like China has fewer ghost towns than Spain...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    If you could fork an app store that easily, why hasn't it happened already?...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    Great talk. I just have a few quibbles 1. In the US, the average age of cars was 11.6 years in 2015. I remember reading that it jumped to 13 years in 2017, but I can't find it. Perhaps I'm...
  • Commented on PSA: Please don't nominate the Laundry Files for a Best Series Hugo Award (this year)
    You're off. The US police kills far more than 900. In 2015, 1146 people were killed. In 2016, 1093 were killed. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2015/jun/01/the-counted-police-killings-us-database It's ignored in the US the same way homelessness is ignored US: ~560k UK: ~300k http://www.socialsolutions.com/blog/2016-homelessness-statistics/ https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/nov/08/one-in-every-200-people-in-uk-are-homeless-according-to-shelter...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    This article is appropriate in talking about sexual assault men experience https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2016/11/the-understudied-female-sexual-predator/503492/...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    I wonder if Google can apply these lasers to get around the repeal of net neutrality? https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2017/12/alphabet-wants-to-deliver-internet-access-via-laser-beams/...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    I know I'm changing the topic, but https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/dec/15/america-extreme-poverty-un-special-rapporteur According to the Guardian, 41 million people are in poverty in the US. I'm assuming that they're using the official US poverty rate, not the supplemental poverty rate. The Guardian has not...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Looking at that poll more closely, it seems that only 2 percent do their grocery shopping exclusively online. That rises to 4 percent on the East Coast....
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    OK, then this varies by country. In the US, 9 percent buy online groceries once a month and 4 percent buy groceries online weekly. By comparison, all buy groceries at least once a month and 83 percent buy groceries once...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Trump and BoJo are already set in the hair department. I never said that the hair has to be long ;)...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    1. "hair is often surprisingly easy to photoshop" in a still image. In any moving image, the photoshop is obvious. The movement isn't natural, even if it's correct. That's the same problem you have with mouth movements in today's CGI....
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Oops. I meant to say that the hair is not put in by the bot....
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    OK, I've finally watched the videos. I know this problem will be fixed eventually, but they totally screwed up the hair. If you look where the blur between the real face and the ML face exists, you'll notice that the...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    You're right. Remember that in the comment I was responding to, Charlie blames Thatcher for shutting the UK's steel industry, and I didn't want to go off on that tangent. Reagan did as much to close the steel mills in...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Oh, forgot a few things Japan could continue to do 5. Raise the female labor force participation rate into the 80s 6. I don't know exactly how it still fares, but before the recession US high school kids had a...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    There are still all sorts of hedges that they can use to get them through the next few decades. First, an increase in tourism would pick up consumption. This DOES have the problem of upsetting the bigots though. However, for...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    First, can you separate out the face-time aspect of medicine from the diagnostic part of it? I know that so far attempts to just have the GP being the person who interacts with the patient just collecting data points and...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    I disagree that the following is a bad thing: "their industries are losing on the productivity front." This is a good thing. As I wrote above, the productive industries have been shedding jobs due to automation, i.e. they're getting more...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Thanks. I did know that family businesses also provide components for the I-phone. I didn't realize that such social controls existed on family businesses though. I could see many of these businesses being automated and brought in-house as the family...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    I don't mean to spam, but another thing to consider. Most of the declines in labor force in Japan are in Hokkaido outside of Sapporo, rural areas, and small-town Tohoku. I think that this has avoided in a lot of...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Also in terms of practicality, I'm not sure Japanese society would have permitted such a high female labor force participation rate if the workforce wasn't shrinking. It's no secret that the overall society is deeply conservative. I wonder what other...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Not sure I agree. This is going by my experience in 2012 to 2015 (admittedly limited to Tokyo). Although their industrial sector is VERY efficient, its service sector has much to be desired in terms of efficiency. For instance, banks...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    For healthcare: you say unproductive like it's a bad thing. I don't know about the UK, but didn't we have a problem in the US with the productive parts of the economy shedding tons of jobs over the past decade...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Actually, so far Japan has managed to handle the shrinking population just fine. 1995 125,570,246 +1.6% 2000 126,925,843 +1.1% 2005 127,767,994 +0.7% 2010 128,057,352 +0.2% 2015 127,094,745 āˆ’0.8% 2017 126,672,000 āˆ’0.3% https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demography_of_Japan My prediction is that they'll hit 1995 numbers...
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