Ioan

Ioan

  • Commented on "I doubt me an it be commercial."
    I know I'm late to this conversation, but didn't Roman Britain have below-replacement level fertility for about a century before collapsing? Also, here is a good summary of British ancestry. https://blogs.ancestry.com/ancestry/2016/09/19/how-british-are-you-dna-study-reveals-uks-ethnic-diversity/ Close to 1700 years later, the largest Saxon ancestry...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    In other news, guess who has joined the new "Scramble for Africa" https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2018/sep/11/russias-scramble-for-influence-in-africa-catches-western-officials-off-guard I was intrigued by the idea that they're building a naval base in Eritrea instead of Djibouti. Still, it's better than the Somaliland idea. Pity that they're...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    I think I should clarify a position. When I keep saying that Russia's future is going to be more Asian, I'm not necessarily talking about China. While I think that the future could be limited to two or three great...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    Since Russia has become a strange attractor recently, here's an article about Russia's activity: https://www.businessinsider.com/heres-how-russias-making-itself-a-major-player-in-chinas-backyard-2018-9 Note that they get Russia's population completely wrong, and they use a very specific definition of the Far East that conflicts to what most Westerners...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    Since Russia seems to have become a strange attractor recently, let me link to an article about Russia's activities in Southeast Asia. https://www.businessinsider.com/heres-how-russias-making-itself-a-major-player-in-chinas-backyard-2018-9 This article gets both Russia's populati...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    White paint is probably doable. However, I don't think that green roofs are as likely as you may think. Newer buildings were designed to be as cheap as possible. Thus, I don't think that the roofs were designed to handle...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    "(Do not see why agro vs. industrialized economy would be a factor in this weird demo because the Afghan-Soviet war used up/wasted Afghani agro resources while using up/wasting industrial resources for the Soviets. Therefore each side wasted mostly whatever economic...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    While you are correct, it's more complex than that for both the US and Japan, for different reasons. In the case of Japan, its last spate of urbanization (post-WWII) ended sometime in the 70s or 80s. If you add 30...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    A few things to remember when looking at Soviet Demographics 1. Russia wasn't the only country to emerge. If the radiation explanation is the most likely, then the effects should be more pronounced in Ukraine. 2. Russia can't be compared...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    Since people are talking about HIV, it would be useful to put the disease in perspective. "At the end of 2007, it was estimated that around 800,000 people were living with HIV in Western and Central Europe. This represents 8.1%...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    To change the topic a bit, I realize that reporting on the progress of consumer technology has fallen out of favor since about 2016. Nevertheless, let's look at how some of these technologies have matured 1. 4K TVs. When they...
  • Commented on Taxonomy of story, or, why murder?
    sleepingroutine can explain the on-the-ground view, but here's my understanding of it. Russian life expectancy cratered around 1988. The reason that male life expectancy in Russia is so much lower than the female one is due to alcoholism. Alcoholism surged...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    I agree about the military utility here. However, it has two non-military uses 1. Innovations in making this missile could be applied to next-generation nuclear reactors. Russia is the top nuclear reactor exporter according to the Economist https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2018/08/07/russia-leads-the-world-at-nuclear-reactor-exports 2. sleepingroutine...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    I wonder how a launch vehicle made out of that nuclear engine would compare with SpaceX's designs? Would Russian rockets become competitive again?...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    I've been busy, so I missed the discussion on policing. I think that while your examples do delineate catalysts for the US becoming more militarized. However, I'm not sure that the police have been becoming more violent. I don't have...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    Technically, Russia's economy is the size of South Korea's, not Mexico's. It's the 11th or 12th largest economy on Earth. I would argue it's more like Russia probably doesn't need the West going forward as much as it used to....
  • Commented on Sitrep
    Well well well, it seems that Beijing's new environmental policies are starting to show results: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-19/xi-s-clean-energy-drive-paints-bluest-sky-over-beijing-in-decade...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    Actually, I'm pretty much assuming that divesting isn't as easy as investing. However, the original conversation was based on the assumption that these industries would not be competitive paying US-style wages, without massive automation. I was using China to point...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    "...most of the affected farmers are forced to return to their former unsustainable activities just to survive." I'm surprised that the government didn't forcibly relocate them to a city or N. Manchuria? Anyway, from what I understand, China's main problems...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    While China's behavior does seem suspiciously like they want to reestablish the VOC and East India Company, here's why I think that they're hanging on to the factories. 1. China has wanted to minimize the social disruption associated with industrialization....
  • Commented on Sitrep
    From your source: "Manufacturing goods in China is now only 4 percent cheaper than in the United States, in large part because yearly average manufacturing wages in China have increased by 80 percent since 2010." That was in 2017. If...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    To answer the question, look at what China's been doing. If these jobs were the same now as in 2000, then many of them would have already decamped for Vietnam, Ethiopia, or somewhere cheaper due to salary rises in China....
  • Commented on Sitrep
    Here's my opinion on whether sanctions were ever effective. I would say that in the post-Vietnam world, sanctions didn't work to get regimes to change their behaviors (with the exception of Belarus and Libya among others). However, the fear of...
  • Commented on Sitrep
    I had a thought a few hours on which I'd like feedback: Looking at the tariffs and sanctions the Trump administration has so far imposed, I'm amazed how ineffective they've been. While they've imposed some pain on the target countries,...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    Oh. If you look at list, Trump won all states with an urbanization rate...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    "No, the big split now is urban vs. rural. People are flocking to the cities, where we have multi-ethnic melting pots that increasingly break democratic. Meanwhile, the rural areas, with their factory towns and factory farms, are increasingly plutocratic." That...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    When it comes to food, you could buy tons of cheap soybeans? We've got plenty these days in the US....
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    In regards to politicians with wild hair. As I said in a previous discussion, deep-fakes and AI software which place the face of one person on the body of another aren't very good with moving hair. The wilder the hairstyle,...
  • Commented on Canned Monkeys Don't Ship Well, the Remix Version
    On the other hand, it might expand the market for 3D printers. While 3D printers have been successful in industry, the dream of a 3D printer in every home has gone nowhere. Who knows, this may even encourage the hobbyist...
  • Commented on Canned Monkeys Don't Ship Well, the Remix Version
    Here are some number for vegetarianism. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vegetarianism_by_country It seems that 14% of UK residents are vegetarians compared to 3.3% for the US....
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