CharlesW

CharlesW

  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    @Charlie 209: The UK Gini income coefficient is not soaring dramatically - its actually been fairly stable recently. The problem is the increasing ratio of extreme %s at the top and bottom rather than the middle 80% https://www.equalitytrust.org.uk/how-has-inequality-changed...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    What Corbyn says means that T May should agree with the EU to take no-deal off the table: takes two to tango : its meaningless for the UK to unilaterally take no-deal off because no deal is what happens if...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    "Wealth Tax" We need better methods of transferring both wealth and income from the rich (particularly inherited wealth: great to see that the % of the UK rich list due to inherited rather than self-made wealth has been declining significantly)...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    I do not currently see a way out of this mess. Barnier is being applauded for negotiating an unacceptable withdrawal agreement. May's government and the civil service have conducted what is almost certainly the best ever example of how not...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    Worth reading Varoufakis "Adults in the Room" for an (admittedly biased) view of the Greek debt crisis and how the EU and IMF mishandled it. Just wish we had some adults in Parliament at the moment ......
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    tfb: But the world has moved on in so many ways in the last 30-40 years: Globalisation has happened, the internet has arrived etc etc: the danger now is not a war between France and Germany but a war (physical...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    Charlie, I think you have very rose-tinted spectacles if you think peace is still the primary vision of the EU (but I agree it was a great argument 30-40 years ago) To me it increasingly looks much more like a...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    What does Cthulhu think about referendums?...
  • Commented on Brexit! Means! Brexit!
    I was teasing Canadian Ken about how Canada should join the USA - but he had a great rejoinder - they have guns. So maybe we should just merge/join with Canada - more or less common language - no guns...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    I Like Koestler's Bisociation idea from the Act of Creation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Act_of_Creation...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    I can see that a hard (WTO)Brexit would cause export and JIT cross-border manufacturing problems, but I have difficulty understanding why it would cause import problems leading to food shortages: exports can be be blocked by the EU but imports...
  • Commented on Test Case
    Can't comment on the legal side ... Watching the video I am struck by how different the woman's behavior was from what I would do: crossing a 6 lane highway with a central reservation not at a pedestrian crossing is...
  • Commented on The crazy years
    My Dad showed Russia how to build a polyethylene plant sometime in the 50's. Don't know what the price was, but apparently when built it was trumpeted as yet another achievement of Soviet science. Then a few years later the...
  • Commented on The crazy years
    When we stayed in a flat in St Petersburg a few years back our host (an educated woman BTW) left the hot tap running 24/7 because hot water was totally free (came from a massive centralised heating system somewhere, she...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    I am wondering how the slow AI Corporations are subject to evolution: They seem to have a fairly short lifetime, and can certainly evolve their processes and methods and copy successful methods from other corporations, and in general their ability...
  • Commented on Trapped in the wrong trouser-leg of time
    Income inequality and wealth inequality do not necessarily correlate well. Gini Coefficients: UK Net Income Gini 32.6 Wealth Gini 73.2 Sweden Net income Gini 27.3 Wealth Gini 85.2 there are a few theories about sweden's lousy wealth gini but none...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    I agree that it seems very unlikely that the Tories will win the next 4 elections: Labour will get its act/leadership together at some point in this period. The Tories will be suffering from cumulative bad news/fatigue damage, and enough...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    I was assuming (for the sake of example) that at least one English person resident in Scotland voted SNP and would therefore be entitled to say that they were offended at being described as Scottish and that my (probably fallacious)...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    OK - how about "Everyone who votes for the SNP is Scottish" - that will probably offend some of the English people who voted for the SNP and according to the definition will therefore be considered a racist statement, although...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    So saying something like "Most people who vote SNP are Scottish" makes me a racist? If it does I find that totally ridiculous....
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    there are many Scots in Whitehall/Victoria St in central London Just imagine the paranoia that will exist in the Westminster negotiation team about their positions being leaked, and senior people jumping ship mid negotiation!...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    So if Brexit takes 2 years even with cliff-edge encouragement Scexit could take even longer and tie up large quantities of resource from both administrations. And I can't see either party agreeing to a hard cliff-edge. Presumably an independent Scotland...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    So maybe the (optimistic) timescale looks like this Trigger Article 50 March 2017 Conclude Brexit negotiations March 2019 IndyRef2 September 2019 Conclude Scexit negotiations September 2019 (not sure that Scexit negotiations are simpler than Brexit negotiations?)...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    Could someone knowledgeable please enlighten me as to why there is so much pressure to hold Indyref2 as soon as possible, as opposed to when the Brexit dust has settled? (Ignoring the obvious opportunistic reasons)...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    So fake numbers rule. Long term as you say I am sure an independent Scotland would be fine, but shorter term, presumably a majority or a very large part of Scotland's trade is with rUK rather than EU? ... WTO...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    Thanks, I got misled into thinking the GERS http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2016/08/2132 numbers originated from the Scottish parliament website: you would think they could fix that impression easily enough. So your link says the numbers provided are dubious but are there any better...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    The economic case for SCEXIT looks bad according to David Smith in the Times based on data from GERS. But Sturgeon has probably forced May to defer INDYREF2 past conclusion of the final BREXIT terms so more than 2 years...
  • Commented on Some notes on the worst-case scenario
    I agree: looks to only have very narrow applicability. The basis of the 10% dominance theory is stated only to apply to "situations where the cost associated with changing one’s opinion is low, or where changes in state are not...
  • Commented on Some notes on the worst-case scenario
    Interesting paper but I wonder how applicable the binary agreement model (which is the basis of the mathematics) is to real-world politics in the US and UK: I think the key sentence is this: "The binary agreement model is well...
  • Commented on Policy change: future US visits
    "Our only hope is an amendment requiring a second referendum on the terms offered ( I think )" "As I've said before on here, this is not possible by the EU rules." I agree that is what the treaty rules...
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