CharlesW

CharlesW

  • Commented on Trapped in the wrong trouser-leg of time
    Income inequality and wealth inequality do not necessarily correlate well. Gini Coefficients: UK Net Income Gini 32.6 Wealth Gini 73.2 Sweden Net income Gini 27.3 Wealth Gini 85.2 there are a few theories about sweden's lousy wealth gini but none...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    I agree that it seems very unlikely that the Tories will win the next 4 elections: Labour will get its act/leadership together at some point in this period. The Tories will be suffering from cumulative bad news/fatigue damage, and enough...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    I was assuming (for the sake of example) that at least one English person resident in Scotland voted SNP and would therefore be entitled to say that they were offended at being described as Scottish and that my (probably fallacious)...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    OK - how about "Everyone who votes for the SNP is Scottish" - that will probably offend some of the English people who voted for the SNP and according to the definition will therefore be considered a racist statement, although...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    So saying something like "Most people who vote SNP are Scottish" makes me a racist? If it does I find that totally ridiculous....
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    there are many Scots in Whitehall/Victoria St in central London Just imagine the paranoia that will exist in the Westminster negotiation team about their positions being leaked, and senior people jumping ship mid negotiation!...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    So if Brexit takes 2 years even with cliff-edge encouragement Scexit could take even longer and tie up large quantities of resource from both administrations. And I can't see either party agreeing to a hard cliff-edge. Presumably an independent Scotland...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    So maybe the (optimistic) timescale looks like this Trigger Article 50 March 2017 Conclude Brexit negotiations March 2019 IndyRef2 September 2019 Conclude Scexit negotiations September 2019 (not sure that Scexit negotiations are simpler than Brexit negotiations?)...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    Could someone knowledgeable please enlighten me as to why there is so much pressure to hold Indyref2 as soon as possible, as opposed to when the Brexit dust has settled? (Ignoring the obvious opportunistic reasons)...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    So fake numbers rule. Long term as you say I am sure an independent Scotland would be fine, but shorter term, presumably a majority or a very large part of Scotland's trade is with rUK rather than EU? ... WTO...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    Thanks, I got misled into thinking the GERS http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2016/08/2132 numbers originated from the Scottish parliament website: you would think they could fix that impression easily enough. So your link says the numbers provided are dubious but are there any better...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    The economic case for SCEXIT looks bad according to David Smith in the Times based on data from GERS. But Sturgeon has probably forced May to defer INDYREF2 past conclusion of the final BREXIT terms so more than 2 years...
  • Commented on Some notes on the worst-case scenario
    I agree: looks to only have very narrow applicability. The basis of the 10% dominance theory is stated only to apply to "situations where the cost associated with changing one’s opinion is low, or where changes in state are not...
  • Commented on Some notes on the worst-case scenario
    Interesting paper but I wonder how applicable the binary agreement model (which is the basis of the mathematics) is to real-world politics in the US and UK: I think the key sentence is this: "The binary agreement model is well...
  • Commented on Policy change: future US visits
    "Our only hope is an amendment requiring a second referendum on the terms offered ( I think )" "As I've said before on here, this is not possible by the EU rules." I agree that is what the treaty rules...
  • Commented on Busy busy busy
    http://www.minot.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/265977/return-of-the-dakrats...
  • Commented on Playtime is over
    "What do you call that large federal republic on the North American continent. (No, not Mexico, the other one)?" Hmm ... not sure ... Did you mean USA or Canada?...
  • Commented on Playtime is over
    "For me, turning the back to Europe is absolutely inconceivable. " Let me say it one more time: Europe is not the EU and the EU is not Europe For those of us Europeans who think the EU in its...
  • Commented on The Day After
    My flash-bulb evening: A small group of us were working late at MSoft Redmond with a bunch of softies. So when we left at 18:45 we had to get a lift back to Bellevue from the Microsoft campus with Joe...
  • Commented on Ever Young?
    Well I am 20 something years older than you so from my experience in another few years maybe you will get over the mid-life imposter syndrome and accept that you are who you are etc etc More seriously my parents...
  • Commented on Facts of Life and Death
    No democratically elected government can afford to let a significant number of its citizens starve to death. If you are looking for disaster scenarios - a medium term (probably within 10 years) better than evens disaster scenario is when the...
  • Commented on Constitutional crisis ahoy!
    The economics don't look good for ScotNatRef2 and it seems unlikely that the EU would offer any economic support for Scotland EU. With UK out I would have thought that Scotland would have to bite the Euro bullet. And RUK...
  • Commented on "Tomorrow belongs to me"
    Facts: He has an E grade for 2 A levels. He started a course in Trade Union Studies at North London Polytechnic but left after disagreeing with his tutors about the curriculum. I don't see how you can describe that...
  • Commented on "Tomorrow belongs to me"
    Some facts: - corbyn's educational level is poor - for example continuing Trident but without the missiles IS stupid - what leadership experience or qualities are on record? - Labour MPs expecting to lose seats: any counter-evidence available? - Left-voting...
  • Commented on "Tomorrow belongs to me"
    Corbyn has bigger problems than the Media: - He appears sincere but stupid - He does not seem to have any leadership qualities or experience - An increasing number of Labour MPs face losing their seats under his leadership -...
  • Commented on The unspeakable truth
    Proposition: The EU is a mess and needs major reform. If so then is reformable in the medium term? If it reformable then on this issue we should remain to try for a better reform than would be obtainable without...
  • Commented on The unavoidable discussion
    From my (English) POV BREXIT is a tradeoff between economic loss and Brussels undemocratic bureaucracy. Both are hard to project into the medium/long-term and subject to large uncertainties. The idea of ever-closer EU union is pretty horrendous, but the projected...
  • Commented on Maneuvers in the Dark
    Christianish?...
  • Commented on Maneuvers in the Dark
    Your definitions of Christians and Xtians are fun but somewhat excluding: What do you call the people who like the idea of the christian god and the golden rule (apart from occasional transgressions of course) but don't go for the...
  • Commented on Bombing Syria Considered Stupid
    Emotionally and logically I find it very hard to turn the other cheek to ISIL/DAESH. Of all the recent nasties they come pretty much top of the pile as deserving eradication. Of course trying to bomb/drone them won't on its...
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