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  • Commented on Omicron
    infection rates scale exponentially over time while fatality per infection (the case fatality rate) remains linear. Again, though this assumes a vulnerable population with no upper bound. Looking at it from the opposite direction (ie, total population), the situation...
  • Commented on Omicron
    Comment Wrong Well, no, not wrong actually. What you’re pointing to is the speed of the deaths, not the final amount. It assumes that the population is unlimited. But that’s not the case and in a population with an upper...
  • Commented on Omicron
    Um, most of the lethal ones? They didn't spin out of the ether, they jumped into humans from somewhere else, then mutated to spread. Certainly Spanish flu and Covid19 became more lethal as they went along. I'm sorry, I framed...
  • Commented on Omicron
    Unfortunately, I don't think that's going to select for a less lethal covid19 variant. Is there an example of a disease that evolved to be more lethal?...
  • Commented on Omicron
    There does seem to be a fair bit of evidence that this variant leads to less serious cases. In which case, the higher contagion could actually be helpful -- if it drives out more lethal variants....
  • Commented on Books I Will Not Write #8: The Year of the Conspiracy
    We don’t. No one does. Welcome to the real world. So, that's your answer? Just give up? Yes because that’s the only other option on the entire spectrum of existence. (Narrator: Nope)...
  • Commented on Books I Will Not Write #8: The Year of the Conspiracy
    Tell me how we BECOME the "shining city on a hill". We don’t. No one does. Welcome to the real world....
  • Commented on Books I Will Not Write #8: The Year of the Conspiracy
    Erm, NO Erm, YES. For values of land warfare, which is what I was thinking of. But fair enough, we had a lot of battleships that went to England, and did absolutely nothing of use, except to use up...
  • Commented on Books I Will Not Write #8: The Year of the Conspiracy
    In hindsight Woodrow Wilson fucked things up for the State Department by positioning the USA (hypocritically) as a beacon of light in the darkness, succour to the fallen, the arsenal of democracy, and all that bullshit -- despite being a...
  • Commented on Books I Will Not Write #8: The Year of the Conspiracy
    conspiratorial thinking is now mainstream Conspiratorial thinking has always been mainstream, ranging backwards through UFOs, JFK assassination theories, fluoride as mind control, FDR helping the Japanese bomb Pearl Harbor, and (as you note yourself), the Protocols. I could go...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    About the only marine-ish thing And all the other things I mentioned up thread, but sure....
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    Then I think it's fair for me to ask the same of you as you've asked me. Can you support your position with a direct quote from the man himself that the basis for Starship Troopers is Marine amphibious operations...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    Sky Soldiers is the Nom De Guerre of 173rd Airborne Brigade, which traces it's lineage to the 503PIR and the airborne assault on Fortress Corregidor The 173d was not an airborne unit until after Heinlein had already written “Starship Troopers,”...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    “The M.I. modeled on the paratroopers of WW2” Do you have a cite for that? I'm pretty sure that the MI were modeled on WWII marines and their operations on the amphibious landings of the Pacific War. Take the description...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    The M.I. modeled on the paratroopers of WW2 Do you have a cite for that? I'm pretty sure that the MI were modeled on WWII marines and their operations on the amphibious landings of the Pacific War....
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    The "message" of the atomic bomb was lost Yeah, no. The best concise examination of the decision to surrender was written by a Japanese historian, Sadao Asada, in 1998, in his article "The Shock of the Atomic Bomb and...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    Response: That is, the goal is not primarily to exterminate civilian populations No, both the USSR and the US war plans during the Cold War explicitly targeted civilian populations -- so-called “counter value” targets. The only two nukes that have...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    The modern trend of increased civilian casualties is not the result of a deliberate policy to wipe out civilians, other than in examples such as Stalin in Russia and the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia Uh, and the Nazis in...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    Actually, excepting the 30 years war almost all "European" wars since then have been fought according to "rules" which include the no-rape-&-pillage rule. There are military reasons for this, of course, as well ass "civilised" ( enlightenment ) ones....
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    NATO's choice of 9 mm ammunition based on a tradeoff between how many bullets a soldier can carry (lighter and smaller = more) and bullets heavy enough to hit sufficiently hard? 5.56 mm ammo, but yes....
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    Patterson doesn't appear to have finished college, let alone go on to graduate school. From Mike Glyer's obit over at File770: "As a young man he attended Arizona State University for two years, majoring in history." Between that and the...
  • Commented on Dread of Heinleinism
    Source: my recollection of the William Patterson biography of Heinlein (actually Patterson's doctoral thesis, edited into readable form). A quick search on Proquest doesn't show Patterson as having written a dissertation. Proquest doesn't pick everything up necessarily, but......
  • Commented on The End of the British nuclear deterrent?
    Since 1837 actually .... Or certainly since 6/2/1952. Sorry, snark should carry the implied * *Accuracy alway limited by snottiness....
  • Commented on The End of the British nuclear deterrent?
    I am baffled Yes, I know....
  • Commented on The End of the British nuclear deterrent?
    Double sigh... My strawman has a heart, actually. If Chiang's government had held mainland China, the situation you describe never would have come up, so yes, it did come down to Mao owning Beijing. And even then, it took 22...
  • Commented on The End of the British nuclear deterrent?
    "you're arguing it" Sigh. You can hold onto the sherry. Take a bath, though....
  • Commented on The End of the British nuclear deterrent?
    I think you are missing the point... and quite spectacularly so, I must say. Such a cliché rhetorical response: "You just don't understand my point! How shallow of you!" No, I understood the point and the slightly whiffy (such BO!)...
  • Commented on The End of the British nuclear deterrent?
    As for losing the Security Council seat, it's not going to happen in the short-medium term. Britain (as can all permanent members) can veto any resolution to remove them as a permanent member. I must remember to tell that to...
  • Commented on The End of the British nuclear deterrent?
    I think you have to separate the verbiage from the actions. For example, Trump wurfled about before the inauguration about US China policy and took a call from the Taiwan president, much to everyone's horror. But since he's been in...
  • Commented on Sometimes I don't know why I bother!
    Since someone has already taken Mad Jack Churchill (who topped out at Lt Col, not General), I'll throw in Adrian Carton de Wiart, who, among other things, bit his own wounded fingers off when the doctor refused to amputate, and...
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