Jeff Fisher

Jeff Fisher

  • Commented on The End of the British nuclear deterrent?
    Random Trump/Brexit observation: I've been getting a lot of UK recruiter communications recently. Getting a lot more from around the world, but the UK used to be quite rare and now is very common. The general uptick is, of course:...
  • Commented on Ever Young?
    Echoing: children. I expect for the great majority of people that is the transition from 'young adult' to 'for real adult'. It's also the most obvious model from your own childhood right? The adults were all the people taking care...
  • Commented on Updating a classic
    I think the update misses the mark a bit. The original is all about how every individual can subtly sabotage, the update seems to assume you are running the place. So: Nurture Defects: *Apply the fact that defects are more...
  • Commented on Long range forecast
    Agree with a previous poster. 'Hyperinflation' is a word with a specific meaning. Rapid general increase in prices. That obviously isn't happening worldwide. This is not the kind of problem one could possibly overlook. In fact inflation has been very...
  • Commented on The Future Is Not American
    Yea, I'm aware that history did not go directly from the Hapsburgs to the Nazis (not that I know very much about the austro-hungarian empire). I just meant in the sense of reducing the popularity of all things 'germanic' and...
  • Commented on The Future Is Not American
    I'd say the Spanish empire does have a large influence. Maybe not on Britain, but certainly in the Americas. Perhaps the Nazis spoiled it for the hapsburgs?...
  • Commented on The sky's gone dark
    GOCE, nice. I don't think it would be that big of a deal, really. I'm not a space optimist. Balloons, long duration UAVs, maybe very low orbit sattelites, ground stations, maybe a few rockets sent up in what would now...
  • Commented on The sky's gone dark
    How about lower orbits as an alternative? Put things into orbits that only last a year because of drag, but also the junk problem doesn't exist....
  • Commented on The present in deep history
    "Think shrinking of cities and rewilding (as with Detroit, only with better management -- I hope)." Detroit lost almost half its population in 50 years, the richer half, and experienced a prolonged localized economic collapse along with hostile national government...
  • Commented on The present in deep history
    Interesting. 1) During this era humanity began to manage the entire earth from a few 1000 feet below the ground (including the entire ocean) to geostationary orbit. 'Wilderness' in the sense of unmanaged biosphere ends. All biospheres (possibly excepting deep...
  • Commented on A different cluetrain
    Re Texas Oh, yea in plenty of ways Texas is the stereotypical red state with the results that anyone but an american 'conservative' would expect. Poor funding poor results for primary and secondary education (note I was talking about higher...
  • Commented on A different cluetrain
    "Texas, which is at the core of GOP dysfunction, is a petro-state with an economy roughly as diverse and modern as Nigeria, Iran or Venezuela. It was been relatively untouched by the economic collapse because it is relatively dislocated from...
  • Commented on A different cluetrain
    I'm still pretty optimistic in the long run. But, you know. 1% of the US population is in prison. 2.5% of voting age citizens cannot vote due to criminal convictions. 7% of African Americans are disenfranchised in that way. Something...
  • Commented on A different cluetrain
    If you make the majority of your lifetime income as wages a tax system which advantages investment income over wage income will not benefit you. It does not matter that you get some investment income, even if during some part...
  • Commented on A different cluetrain
    Re education Student loans are not collateralized loans, like a mortgage. They are based on a hypothetical future revenue stream, like a business loan or a tax levy based loans. That revenue stream is the future earnings of the person...
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