Graydon

Graydon

  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Do not expect the right-wing policy to be economic prosperity Well, not for everyone. If it's not for everyone, it's not prosperity. The general pattern of the 20th century is a fight over whether there would be a labour...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    From a national perspective, not even wrong. I mean, decent politically for racists, but not even productive. The right does not want a modern economy. A modern economy is the wrong kind of competition and severely disadvantages the "women, cattle,...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    I dunno. We apparently had language for at least 70k years... but human life *radically* changed what, 17k years ago? 12k? The water rose up. (Last glacial maximum is 21k years BP.) It is extremely difficult to begin to tell...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    The thing is, Brexit isn't about the EU at all, when you get down to it: it's about English identity politics. I'm not sure I agree. I think the English identity politics are a tool being used in an attempt...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    I'm over fifty. Statistically, we don't exist. The risk is too big and the change is too large. (Keep in mind that the minimum ante is now something on the order of "abolish capitalism, great personal wealth, and fossil carbon...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Obama sold "Hope" and had turnout ~10% higher than 2016. Warren sells "Competence". I don't know Harris' selling point, but I suspect it would have a wider appeal than your own definition of Biden's - "Republicans only hate me because...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Depends on how much investment the Money has in Scotland. My guess would be that they're OK with EU law covering that if they get the greatly desired "no taxes on the rich" outcome in England....
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    I do get that a majority of the US is absolutely not OK with that. This is nigh-completely irrelevant; the machinery of government is absolutely one hundred percent pure quill delighted; that's what ICE exists to do, and the people...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Other than hollowing out the federal gov't, and the tax cuts for the rich, he's actually gotten very little done. He's got the ethnic cleansing rolling. Non-white voting's getting really challenging, and trending more challenging. The "any white man can...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    [putting a USN CVN at risk in a conflict with Iran] They don't need to But a certain faction really, really wants to do it. Lose a CVN, and it's the national honour; Iran can be threatened with nuking unless...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    I absolutely don't want justice; I can't define it. (it's about like trying to be good.) I want the ethnic cleansing to stop prior to a general collapse into genocide, which is where it's going, very much on the Rwandan...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Not opening the impeachment proceedings is dereliction of duty and renders them complicit. It's not at all likely they're going to win the presidency in 2020 because the US does not have fair elections and the state GOP parties will...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Any actual fix requires stopping the flow of money into politics. Which Parliament could do, had it the mind and will to do so. It's easy to joke about Her Britannic Majesty deciding to go all "we are not amused"...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    The status quo cannot possibly survive. The post-war status quo, especially in the US, is driven by making housing and automobiles and all that attends on these things major sectors of the economy. This takes a lot of laws; things...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Like pretty much all the political survivors of the opposition to Reagan Revolution, she's completely convinced that a shooting civil war is a real risk and must be avoided. It's suggested that the reason the tax rates stayed high after...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Olives are a pretty good choice. Nuts often have shelf-life issues; pasteurised nut butters in sealed glass if you're going for shelf life. The right kinds of cheese. Many sorts of dry sausage. Pickled herring. Most of the vegetable oils...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Going beyond Charlie's "if the power stays on"; if that's not your accustomed diet and not your accustomed means of cooking, likely not. There's no fat on that list. The abstract human needs about 30% (20% to 35% ranges are...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Wasn't talking about Iran's behaviour at all. They're generally being quite rational....
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    Stock up on the beans, rice, flour, vitamins, meds, and water purifiers while things are good, I think. Toothbrushes, etc. 20L containers, because the cheap per-litre water purification tablets work per 20 litres. (that is, per NATO jerrycan.) Clothing repair...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    The essential problem is that politicians still believe we can dock a battleship someplace and send the Marines in for a quick regime change. How completely fucking stupid do you have to be to imagine that's going to happen in...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    I'm pretty sure Farage wants the tax status he thinks royalty ought to have. Pretty sure whoever thinks Farage is working for them is wrong, and medium-sure he's way over on the "evil" end of "stupid or evil?" Things are...
  • Commented on Whoops Apocalypse!
    14. China's already-announced ban on combustion-powered private vehicles is for 2025; there's an announcement that due to the new battery technology just now publicly displayed, the ban is moving up to 2023. The Carbon Bubble pops rather more abruptly than...
  • Commented on Story time!
    Agriculture breaks by 2030. (Agriculture is not doing well at all this year.) Nor do we have any prospect of rendering thermally uninhabitable land habitable again; that's Alien Space Bat/The Culture Shows Up territory. So we're not looking at yeoman...
  • Commented on Story time!
    The better choice would be to reactivate all those dying farm towns around the US, especially east of the Mississippi, The ENTIRE US east of the Mississippi is in the expected thermal excursion zone. (So is all of the inhabited...
  • Commented on Story time!
    It's amazing how little people having an oh-shit moment will think about the geopolitical implications of shifting the blame. At present, this doesn't look like there was a plan; this looks like extemporization. It might be multi-actor extemporization all the...
  • Commented on Story time!
    My money is on Saudi Arabia (get Trump to piss on the Shi'ites), possibly in collusion with Benjamin Netenyahu (who uses the Ayatollahs as a handy horror show to keep his internal Likudnik opposition in line). Outside odds: it's the...
  • Commented on Story time!
    "Do not needlessly multiple entities" includes "absent material evidence, don't attribute actors to events". The only thing we've got that's plausibly factual (maybe as much as 80% confidence) is the shipping company's assertion that the crew reported a "flying object"...
  • Commented on CMAP #16: Book Title Blues
    There's a substantial wheat crop from Peace River at 56 N. Field peas and canola, too....
  • Commented on CMAP #16: Book Title Blues
    The lethal temperature line (in North America) looks likely to be around 45 north, maybe as high as 50. That leaves pretty much the entire Canadian Prairie provinces. Won't be able to farm and probably won't be able to get...
  • Commented on CMAP #16: Book Title Blues
    A lot of soy in our future for sure. In order to farm, you have to know roughly when and how much it's going to rain. As soon as that's sufficiently uncertain, no farming of anything. It's not "farming gets...
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