Erwin

Erwin

  • Commented on Do my Homework
    Having observed women starving themselves in adolescence because short women were considered attractive (and then cursing because tall women were in vogue by the time they became adults...). And also having observed children one step down from royalty...who lived through...
  • Commented on Do my Homework
    The increasing mismatch between cultural and technological change. I'd also posit that the rate of cultural change in rural/urban also varies. Coupled with the general reduction in poverty, an increasing and differential acceptance of genetic engineering...and a drastic reduction in...
  • Commented on Media Piracy and Unpronounceable Names
    Regarding anonymity, someone upthread referenced the notion of not making complex things simple. Anonymity seems inherently complex. Regarding Bitcoin, it does (and did) solve the problem of a broke university group paying a programmer in very foreign parts to write...
  • Commented on "I doubt me an it be commercial."
    I guess that the music industry should be predictive. So, very popular writers make about the same. However, the lucky writers who could have made the midlist earlier get amalgamated into a vast strata of authors who didn't quite make...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    I'd model this as a game of chicken, played between Theresa May and UK business. Theresa May has no interest in career suicide, so primcipled action will not happen. UK business, by which I mean isolated companies, has no interest...
  • Commented on Canned Monkeys Don't Ship Well, the Remix Version
    So, I guess the conclusion is that the easy way for interstellar travel involves learning enough organic engineering that man/machine is a spectrum? Basically, interstellar travel is largely posthuman. No, or very little, new physics - just a ton of...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    I suspect that going further left would cost them votes. If anything, I suspect they are a bit malpositioned socially. Black Lives Matter, LBGT rights, and protecting refugees probably lose more votes than they gain. All things considered, swerving right...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    Meh. I'm a bit skeptical about the whole 'leadership' is terrible thing for the Democrats. I'd argue that they are pretty close to some sort of weighted political views median person in the Democratic Party. Coalition elements include: Minorities: socially...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    Probably a couple of bits of good newsand some.venality. First off, we've run an extremely successful antipoverty program involving free trade. Worldwide, poverty has decreased. Apparently, the speculation that the working class might not like spreading prosperity and, to some...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    Wow. I don't know enough about the UK to judge whether or not you are correct. But, this is a potential explanation for differences in the UK's acceptance of female politicians. Definitely interesting and not something I would ever have...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    I guess that this is an affliction related to having power. One unfortunate side effect of the sort of systematic shunning of racist expression (see Roseanne) that has been implemented in Western countries is a systematic underestimation of the extent...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    On one hand, yes, there are plenty of people who detest Trump and his supporters. But, his support is still solid. You are right that an economic downturn would probably crater his support. Still, the US economy isn't that trade-driven...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    Unfortunately, I think you're overly optimistic. If you look at approval ratings among Trump voters, aside from a really short-lived bump, his support has been about as steady as a typical President. (just lower) I'm really dubious about the 'ill-informed'...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    The thing I may be missing is - how is May being foolish? Given: 1. Objective: Staying in power 2. Platform == Soft Brexit=> power loss 3. Platform == Hard Brexit=> power keep 4. Outcome == Hard Brexit=> power loss...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    Well, I differentiate between an idiot and people whose interests differ from those they represent. Eg, the manager who supported the multi-million dollar MRI product with, assuming they work out the kinks, zero sales isn't an idiot. He is just...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    I'd argue, and may well be wrong, that most arguments involving large groups of people not engaging their minds to any extent are flawed. People don't think much, but they mostly aren't utter idiots, just self-centered and a bit blinkered....
  • Commented on The Pivot
    I tend to model politicians as decent people running optimization routines designed to maximize their chances of staying in power. They come to the oddest compromises. Based on her actions, rather than speeches, I think it is reasonable to conclude...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    Merely reducing the output radioactivity of coal to the levels from nuclear would probably make coal uneconomic......
  • Commented on The Pivot
    Well, yes. If senior management comes up with something as dimwitted as Brexit, there will be enormous losses. The big one, I think, is finance. Galileo is a rounding error. On the other hand, as long as you accept losing...
  • Commented on The Pivot
    Um. From the beginning until now, Theresa May's actions have been perfectly consistent with being stuck with an idiotic project, pushed upon her by ignorant managers (the people). So, in the face of that nonsense, one boldly sets out and...
  • Commented on Test Case
    Well, it'll depend. I'd guess that, for the US, vehicle owners will pay for liability insurance, with some caveats regarding proper maintenance and that that insurance will be cheaper for autonomous cars than for manual drivers. (And, if you doubt...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    To some extent, American politics is, in my opinion, simple. We're a country founded on slavery. The North/South divide remains. I don't even blame the conservative. It is just that, if you take up a small government stance, you sweep...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    I hope you may be too pessimistic, probably because you are working on land usage. There is such a vested interest on the part of currently established landusers to mess things up to create scarcity...or...this is why US cities are...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    Sorry about your friend. It depends on the purpose. I like entertaining books sometimes - sometimes elaborate worldbuilding without an interesting story falls flat. I also like books that are reasonably easy to relate to. At the moment, realistic mid+...
  • Commented on Houston: what are the long-term consequences?
    Heh. I suspect NK is being amazingly rational. Assume they've noticed that they and Iran are the only designated enemies of the US without nuclear weapons currently standing. (Well, maybe Syria) Assume they've also noticed that 0% of nations with...
  • Commented on Trapped in the wrong trouser-leg of time
    Doubt it - most countries in the EU have some hot issue with regards to the UK. Most countries in the EU don't mind that much if someone else's hot issue gets pressed. I have a suspicion that one of...
  • Commented on Trapped in the wrong trouser-leg of time
    Meh. First off, new tech companies are mostly based around automating human labor - so - they don't create many jobs. Second off, competent programmers don't want to live in coal country. Third, it is currently much cheaper to hire...
  • Commented on Trapped in the wrong trouser-leg of time
    Well. Thing is - if I understand it correctly - it isn't as simple as cancelling Act 50. (I could easily be wrong.) The UK can cancel act 50 - but only subject to conditions set by the EU. I'm...
  • Commented on Trapped in the wrong trouser-leg of time
    For optimism, research-wise, there's a new solid plastic electrolyte that is either pure BS or maybe a decently economic method for energy storage. If I had to be, I'd go with BS, but mostly out of pure ignorance. I'd also...
  • Commented on Rejection Letter
    To be fair, Linux would be only somewhat better - security holes are also found in Linux from time to time. Having been employed by a few hardware vendors in the medical community, the systems won't be patched over an...
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