Erwin

Erwin

  • Commented on Fossil fuels are dead (and here's why)
    One consideration. The UK appears to be a bit of an edge case. While I agree that nuclear has some desirable properties in terms of grid size reduction, most of the world's population belongs to nations with enough surface area...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Well, latest Lancet is claiming doubled hospitalization rates, so, assuming outcomes are similar, quite a few more deaths incoming....
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Agree on the authoritarianism, skeptical on the batshittery. I'd guess that most of that is simply motivated reasoning, little different than agreeing that your friend's ex was awful. I doubt they can win entirely. There are states comprising large fractions...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Suspect American politics becomes interesting once the Republican party implodes. Political stability seems to thrive on a continuous gradient, where policy shifts to pick up the median voter. Problem is that there's a 'social conservative' (racist) voting bloc. One of...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Agreed. Albeit, I'd make a distinction between Republicans and Republican politicians. I've seen plenty of Republicans turn away from the national party. They clearly have many reasonable choices. Frankly, there's room in the CA Democratic party for plenty of typically...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    I'd be careful about 'othering' the South. My perspective is that the only fundamental difference between California and the South is that of political feasiblity. Well within my lifetime, we elected Reagan and Wilson. We, whether CA or NY, have...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    So, when my parents moved to California, the house they bought had a fairly standard clause prohibiting sales to mixed race couples. And, I've been told that the Yellow Scare in CA was responsible for the creation of the INS....
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Perhaps less sample size than time. There's a probably rational bias towards skepticism towards studies that fit a narrative and/or whose conclusions benefit some interest group. (Honestly, a fairly distinguished statistician recommended such a bias when reading studies...) On their...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Maybe. For hospital loading in the Delta wave, it seems to be capping out at similar levels of ICU usage to the winter peak. Seems, mind you. So, I wouldn't expect significantly higher death rates. And I really dislike Republicans,...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Dunno. The last 2 to vax I know - (August 21) - were probably 50% - wait on larger sample group, 20% generic distrust of government (immigrants, so not an American thing), and 30% working from home and suspecting they...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Although, in an optimistic mood, might anti-vaxxers be seen as simple conservatives? As in, resistant to change and preferring an inferior older solution (doing nothing) versus trying a new vaccine? I've seen relatives making similar sounding arguments about tablet-style cell...
  • Commented on On inappropriate reactions to COVID19
    Overly optimistic. Assuming a sterilizing immunity of roughly 50% and an R0 exceeding 8, in a fully vaccinated population, COVID-19 will be an endemic virus, perhaps indefinitely. Vaccination hopefully reduces the incidence of permanent mental disability. Some people will opt...
  • Commented on Starship bloopers
    With kidlings, I can prove that I sleep on NP-Complete mattresses. The South American Bitcoin thing does illustrate a use-case for digital currency....
  • Commented on Starship bloopers
    I liked Starship Troopers (at a much younger age). And, probably unpopular, liked the movie -> it felt like a natural 'movie' extension of the novel. (Fascist military government made quite a bit more obvious, to the point of parody.)...
  • Commented on Because I am bored ...
    I wonder - why not? The dollar standard is effectively a tax on the world. While beneficial to the US, it doesn't seem likely that other nations are glad to pay that tax. Other currencies are less trustworthy than the...
  • Commented on Because I am bored ...
    Beyond that, in some fraction of teachings of some churches, you'll find relatively productive advice on, eg, mindfulness. For in-group people, religion often has net positive value - well beyond any of the actually religious teachings. @322 Damian Albeit, China...
  • Commented on Because I am bored ...
    How does proof of stake work? There are assertions that proof of stake based coins trivialize the power consumption issue. I didn't see an obvious flaw. Seems easier than satellites. For digital currencies, I don't hate them intrinsically. They do...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    We do everything excepting the oven... Roughly 1 in 4 takeouts resulted in a noticeable illness. Not covid, minor colds (antibody testing) We did restrict to cooked food. Previously, it was hard to pick out of the noise from the...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    On one hand, being a person who finished a second dose of Pfizer a while back...and perfectly comfortable with a vaccine passport being a condition of travel, employment, and access to government services. On the other hand, realizing that being...
  • Commented on A death in the Firm
    At least in the US, traumatized and non-traumatized may be better classifiers for atheists. The traumatized atheist is the usual ex-evangelical, having suffered some fraction of church-condoned sexual abuse, sexual orientation shaming, and/or family ostracism upon questioning the church. (And...
  • Commented on Lying to the ghost in the machine
    You missed...want them to drive in - without causing traffic. My opinion is that people who work in a given region should be allowed to vote in that region's local elections....
  • Commented on A Quick Infomercial
    Dunno. My take on it is that modern finance is terribly unproductive and that regulatory structures enabling its existence should be modified. An awfully large fraction of potentially productive individuals spend their time and efforts gaming money out of a...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Not sure about killing the filibuster. The government still swings between parties and a Trumpist government with a trifecta could easily have been an existential threat to democracy. Given that my opinion is that the demographic transition will eventually, barring...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    The extremists are staying in the GOP. I'm hopeful that US politics is similar to California a bit before 2000. (Remember the anti-Hispanic proposition?). The bad news is that the transition is maybe 10 years off. But, the good news...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Probably overgeneral. The way my wife explained it, local Catholic churches are closer to a really loosely run, thousand year old, franchise, with the sort of attendant variation you'd expect. Now, my observation is that the parent organization does seem...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    For today, I raise a small glass. An exit for a politician I dislike. The world is a slightly better place....
  • Commented on Covid on Mars
    11 days? So, maybe 2 transmission periods. With R of 20, say 400 infected? Given knowledge of the long-term disability issue, spread minimization is key. For a Mars colony, probably an immediate, draconian lockdown. (Real Men end up being captured...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Some of their anger is pretty well-founded. We have a generally accelerating rate of social change coupled with an acceptance of globalism. Sure, efficiency increases and the pie gets bigger. But then, we take the extra slices and dole them...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Names are not so simple. Admittedly, my 2021 resolution, much like 2020, is to avoid accidentally walking outside without my shorts. (Not far...) But, expecting me to remember your name after collaborating on a 6 month project and 3 years...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Issue is that about half of spread is asympmatic. So sending home.the sick kids is probably insufficient. In a world where adults socially distanced effectively, kids would contribute to spread significantly. In the US, it may be only a modest...
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