Erwin

Erwin

  • Commented on Lying to the ghost in the machine
    You missed...want them to drive in - without causing traffic. My opinion is that people who work in a given region should be allowed to vote in that region's local elections....
  • Commented on A Quick Infomercial
    Dunno. My take on it is that modern finance is terribly unproductive and that regulatory structures enabling its existence should be modified. An awfully large fraction of potentially productive individuals spend their time and efforts gaming money out of a...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Not sure about killing the filibuster. The government still swings between parties and a Trumpist government with a trifecta could easily have been an existential threat to democracy. Given that my opinion is that the demographic transition will eventually, barring...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    The extremists are staying in the GOP. I'm hopeful that US politics is similar to California a bit before 2000. (Remember the anti-Hispanic proposition?). The bad news is that the transition is maybe 10 years off. But, the good news...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Probably overgeneral. The way my wife explained it, local Catholic churches are closer to a really loosely run, thousand year old, franchise, with the sort of attendant variation you'd expect. Now, my observation is that the parent organization does seem...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    For today, I raise a small glass. An exit for a politician I dislike. The world is a slightly better place....
  • Commented on Covid on Mars
    11 days? So, maybe 2 transmission periods. With R of 20, say 400 infected? Given knowledge of the long-term disability issue, spread minimization is key. For a Mars colony, probably an immediate, draconian lockdown. (Real Men end up being captured...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Some of their anger is pretty well-founded. We have a generally accelerating rate of social change coupled with an acceptance of globalism. Sure, efficiency increases and the pie gets bigger. But then, we take the extra slices and dole them...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Names are not so simple. Admittedly, my 2021 resolution, much like 2020, is to avoid accidentally walking outside without my shorts. (Not far...) But, expecting me to remember your name after collaborating on a 6 month project and 3 years...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Issue is that about half of spread is asympmatic. So sending home.the sick kids is probably insufficient. In a world where adults socially distanced effectively, kids would contribute to spread significantly. In the US, it may be only a modest...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    For infected kids, last study I saw was that the R0 was about half that for adults. Given that there is a high asymptotic fraction, seems reasonable. But, infected kids will tend to serve as viral amplifiers for their parents......
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Perhaps unclear. I'd tend to think of capitalism as any system where people are allowed to freely exchange value, with some sort of legal framework designed (perhaps incidentally) to ensure people optimize for some optimization criterion. Any such system is...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Not sure I see a direct connection. Concentration of wealth is probably an intrinsic component of capitalistic systems - part of an efficiency optimization method. But...something like a carbon tax / decarbonization credit would generate reasonable incentives. (Albeit, written poorly,...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Dunno. Seems to be more of a design issue. (Or non-optimal optimization) Individual control of capital has, so far, worked better than other systems. Wealth concentration is a fairly inevitable artifact of those systems and probably improves efficiency. But, it'd...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    I fear you have it backwards. Fascism is a symptom. Trump's lasting contribution to political discourse will be the knowledge that European racist political parties form a dominant, probably strongly dominant bloc in the US. He could be blasted by...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Too optimistic for me. That thesis assumes someone competent might be in control, rather than a nonsensical dance of emergent stupidity. @183 Neither the 25th nor impeachment is particularly necessary. I'd prefer impeachment, but there isn't exactly time. I'll settle...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Y'know, I did know a few real libertarians. They favored defunding the police, completely, and privatizing law enforcement. They actually succeeded in raising speed limits somewhere. And, well, were quite firmly against government support of corporations. Big supporters of Assange,...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    I've heard this before. It isn't exactly false, but is also qualitatively deceptive, in my opinion. The GOP is better predicted by 3 groups. 1. Social conservatives - with > 60% of GOP membership falling into this category. 2. Plutocrats...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    @JBS. Oops. Question I had was whether or not most billionaires trended Republican as asserted in the comment I think I replied to...probably should have added that for clarity. Overall, billionaire donations at least are not clearly weighted to either...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    Is that accurate? For total political donations, the first report indicated that total contributions were split pretty evenly, with Democratic donations in the lead for 2020, albeit there were some peaks where Republican donations were a fair bit higher. Now,...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    The nice part is that I prefer European politics to USain politics, at least from a distance, so maybe that sort of realignment might actually help? What do the other parties end up looking like? I mean, one of the...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    I could be completely wrong. But...look at the voting blocks. Then look at the voters that the soon-to-be-not-president (STBNP) pulled in. The college-educated tend to vote Democratic. The non-college-educated tend to vote Republican. I'm not talking about the 1%. High...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    For optimism, I will guess that Trump is a symptom of cracking in the beige dictatorship. It isn't that Democratic Party is necessarily focused on being worker-hostile, but the equilibrium they've reached with the interest groups aligned with particular parties...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    I sometimes read conservative reddits (mostly to figure out if they are really that nuts) and...the commentors are a lot less ..conservative...than I'd expected. There does seem to be a strong anti-corporatist streak. Oddly, there was also more support than...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    Part of it is that there are intertwined populations. My wife and I are in the pretty paranoid category (haven't been to a store in about 6 months, avoid takeout, occasionally go on a walk while masked and crossing the...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    Eh. There is a laundry list of minor issues, all of which are solvable in the context of 'solar and CO2 don't exist.' That said, there would be occasional failures, which would total far less than current death tolls from...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    Besides, political issues tend to be less tractable than technical issues. If you wanted a non-CO2 solution in the UK, I predict that nuclear is faster than solar-beamed power satellites which are both faster than power lines. Now, question is...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    Corrosion issues are significant. Perhaps not fundamental material science level, but unsolved. There are also some probably interesting radioactive chemistry problems. @Paul Regarding solutions, I like accountability. One of the fundamental current problems with Western capitalism is that wealthy people...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    While the Toronto observations are promising, as a parent of school-age children, an assertion that children are infected at low incidence and don't contribute significantly to spread is the sort of extraordinary claim that would require extraordinary evidence... Or, put...
  • Commented on Submarine coming through!
    Relatively speaking, I'd argue that the USA is showing more signs of instability than China. I'd agree that China will have issues, but guess that they are several generations off. @mdive Maybe. But the rather high incidence of cardiac issues...
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