LAvery

LAvery

  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    Sean Trende argues that a 12 - 18 month shutdown will prove unsustainable....
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    LAvery @ 118: We can probably do better than that, but I'm willing to guarantee that the instant breathe test you envision is not gonna happen. We need to or we're going to be stuck in limbo forever. Doesn't have...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    Agreed. I've been flogging serological tests for weeks, even b efore they appeared in the news. Aside from the advantages you mention, they are quick and inexpensive....
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    I'm thinking something like a breath analyzer. You blow into a disposable tube and if you're contagious the indicator turns blue or something like that. We do have a test like that, but it is slow and expensive. You find...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    Suggest to me where I am wrong here, but are not all immune systems adaptive? One can argue over the efficiency of said systems, but they are rather universal. All creatures adapt and abapt to their environment and their various...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    Oh, and by the way, fish also have an adaptive immune system that is basically the same as ours. (Well, it's like version 1.2, and we're version 3.8.) There are even fish vaccines. The innate immune system of snails does...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    Basically as I understand it, you've got an innate immune system (same as fish and snails) and an adaptive immune system. The innate one is slow and primitive, while the adaptive one is the one that makes tailored antibodies and...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    It's true. The people who write popular descriptions of PCR like to emphasize how "sensitive" it is -- can detect even a single molecule! And this is true. What they fail to emphasize is that PCR is sensitive in all...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    "The problem is which antibodies does the serological test respond to. Coronavirus antibodies include those from common cold strains which everyone on the planet will have, etc" Yes, of course. those are all problems that I meant to cover under...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    Serological tests, i.e. tests for antibodies, are in principle much easier. It's a bulk test, so minute contamination (i.e., a single molecule's worth) is not a problem. Also, tests of this type are routine and can be developed for standard...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    Actually, the COVID-19 tests are run on QPCR ("Q" is for quantitative) machines. The machines are more complicated and expensive -- the reaction is monitored in real time by fluorescence, unlike in the old days where we ran, say 30...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    The new method of desperately dashing to one of a few big supermarkets that remain open, every week or so, trying to find anything on mostly empty shelves, and not ordering online because the whole online ordering infrastructure has more...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    One of the stories mathematicians like to tell is how David Hilbert invented something -- now known as Hilbert Space -- that had no applications whatever when he thought of it. Then Bohr, Heisenberg et al discovered quantum mechanics, and...
  • Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas"
    Agreed. I think we'll be living with Covid-19 essentially forever. (It will eventually become what those who try to minimize it say it is now: a background endemic disease like the flu. Maybe not with annual vaccines, since it mutates...
  • Commented on Infomercial Interlude
    "every time I tried to rewrite it—for three consecutive attempts—someone close to me died. This time round, no single person died—but we got the global COVID19 pandemic instead." So, you're the one responsible for this. J/K, and congrats on getting...
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    That's an American source. Thank you, I am QUITE aware of that... Anyway, it's not for the book, but for a film adaptation. Peter Pan the book is available as a free eBook on Gutenberg, and has been since 2006....
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    Speaking of Peter Pan, as we were not too long ago: Happy Public Domain Day!...
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    The Blueprint Iran Could Follow After Soleimani’s Death, Uri Friedman. Former U.S. official Ilan Goldenberg ... foresees Iran breaking free of the remaining restraints on its nuclear-weapons program. He also expects Tehran to green-light “all-out conflict” by Shiite militias in...
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    Does anyone else think Qassem Soleimani looked like Sean Connery? I'm thinking it has to have chapped Trump's ass that this guy had such a made-for-TV-authority look. It sounds stupid (well, it IS stupid), but this is exactly the kind...
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    If Iran assassinates a member of Trump's immediate family, it'll be the end of democracy in the USA. (Yeah, yeah, I know -- the USA has never been a democracy.)...
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    In any case, there already *is* good queer fiction pushing boundaries being published. Gideon the Ninth!...
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    Mary Poppins ... was, indeed, quite narcissistic and egocentric, ... And it would be more proper to consider her a minor goddess than a witch. (She is, after all, supposed to be related to the Sun.) Yes. One can perceive...
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    "Peter Pan" -- the original by J. M. Barrie (which was extremely dark) Peter Pan is a much greater work of literature than it usually gets credit for being. I have had this discussion with numerous people who are sure...
  • Commented on Introducing Dead Lies Dreaming
    Ordered on Amazon. (They call this pre-ordering, for some reason that obviously has more to do with marketing than proper use of the English language.) I always enjoy doing this, because it means that at some point in the not-so-near...
  • Commented on Artificial Intelligence: Threat or Menace?
    Not all knowledge can be explained. I agree. What I said is that you should know how you know what you know, and be able to explain that to someone else. For instance, "I know what sex feels like for...
  • Commented on Artificial Intelligence: Threat or Menace?
    BTW, natural-sounding gender-neutral writing in Japanese or Korean is not actually easy. But pronouns are not the problem....
  • Commented on Artificial Intelligence: Threat or Menace?
    with English it takes a bit of planning to make it happen smoothly, but it's still possible (emphasis added). I am completely convinced that you believe what you are saying. But I am also convinced that you are quite wrong....
  • Commented on Artificial Intelligence: Threat or Menace?
    It's entirely possible to write in such a manner that the question of what pronoun to use never even arises, and moreover to do it so smoothly that the reader never notices you're doing it at all; it's not even...
  • Commented on Artificial Intelligence: Threat or Menace?
    I was lucky - never had to deal with ADA.At any rate, so much of that are folks who have no idea what they're doing. Nowadays I do most of my coding in python3, which is truly a joy to...
  • Commented on The obligatory general election discussion post
    They only charged him with 2 counts, and they could easily have charged him with 20. It wouldn't surprise me at all if it was possible to charge him with 200! The difference between 0 and 2 is much bigger...
Subscribe to feed Recent Actions from LAvery

Following

Not following anyone

Specials

Merchandise

About This Page

Find recent content on the main index or look in the archives to find all content.

Search this blog

Propaganda