RalphB

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• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  That off-guardian article is pretty rotten, but given in what context it is cited it doesn't do much to the conclusions of the talkigy article. If tests are perfectly reliable, and indications are that they are pretty good, then counting...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  They might not go on strike, but jut wait for what a borked software update will do......
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  To my understanding the ONS only publish stats on all the specific causes of death and how this correlates to age brackets at the end of the year, but I wonder if when they do we'll see a surge of...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  Talking mnemonics, shame there isn't a colour near the violet end of the visible spectrum starting with a C. That way we could have Richard Of York Got Buried In Carpark. In the comment a little further down about resistor...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  Regarding Sweden, if thats the case can anyone point out the flaw in the reasoning at: http://inproportion2.talkigy.com/nordic_comparison_4jul.html It seems to make pretty good sense to me. And all the stats I'm seeing show that while cases are not hugely low...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  The care homes cockup is truly shameful. This is a virus which is primarily a risk to the old and frail, so the policy of moving patients from hospitals to carehomes and letting the virus go with them has contributed...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  Thanks for the link, nice graphing tools. We should note though that in Sweden the cases have isen recently, with an increase in testing capacity (at last!), but hospital ICU admissions with the virus are very low and have been...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  My apologies if what I'm saying seems a bit strong, but I've been on the receiving end of police harassment for "non-essential" shopping early in the lockdown. Who are they to say what items from the supermarket are "non-essential" when...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  Sorry, I types those stats from memory and bleeped them up a bit. I've checked the sources at https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-covid-deaths-per-million?tab=table and see that only Belgium (with quite a hard lockdown) has come in over 700 per 1M of population (very foolish...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  In the UK they're even being marketed, at marked up prices, in the classified adverts in the back of newspapers, where discount clothing brands and shoes sized for the elderly are often marketed. For better prices most corner shops and...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  I think the concern is more about "laboratory" glass vessels in which to run the vaccine production cultures, as opposed to distribution. I don't think you'd want glass for distribution, if it got smashed that would be a lot of...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  176 versus 154 is statistical noise, there's massive periodicity to the daily announced death tolls just because of how deaths don't get registered so easily at the weekend, overall the rates have got pretty stable at the moment. I'm no...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  As measures go masks look like they could be some of the most effective, I try to remember to wear one whenever I'm anywhere that's crowded....
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  Flu will be back, flu always comes back. The lockdowns don't seem to have done that much to stop covid-19, in many places the peak seemed to have started declinging when people took the less intrusive hygiene precautions, in a...
• Commented on "It'll all be over by Christmas" (Part 2)
  It is odd that there hasn't been any noticable spike yet due to the protests and huge beach gatherings we've seen in the UK. And due to the rugby-scrums developing outside some shops when they re-opened. And, except in countries...