• Commented on Why AIs Won't Ascend in the Blink of an Eye - Some Math
    The math looks right to me this time, given the assumptions stated. My expectation is that AI development would look like an S curve. There may be low hanging fruit at the beginning (e.g. new cognitive algorithms, the gains from...
  • Commented on The Singularity Is Further Than It Appears
    Where are you getting that 70% -- is it from dividing by sqrt(2)? I think you should be multiplying instead. If the AI is twice as smart as the team that created it, it should be able to produce AIs...
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