Sat, 10 Jan 2004
Busy, busy ...
Excuse hiatus; the second round of long-range network admin
stuff for my family took me out of town for a couple of days,
then the washing machine broke down and necessitated a rapid
search for a replacement.
Writing continues; more on this later. Meanwhile, some
happy-joy reading: the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
publish a paper suggesting that current estimates of the
effects of a nuclear attack ignore
predictable fire effects, effectively vastly underrating
the destructive power of a typical single strategic weapon
against most targets. The author, with reference to a single
300Kt airburst, discusses the flash and heat effects of the
bomb and concludes "virtually no one in an area of about
40-65 square miles would survive." (So much for duck and
cover!) I feel so relieved, knowing that a typical ICBM carries multiple warheads of
this size, and that even Pakistan can put together several weapons
this large and deliver them by bomber, and that we now live in
a multipolar world where the traditional deterrent regime
seems to be out of fashion ...
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