ilya187

ilya187

  • Commented on Metacommentary
    OTOH I don't know any other method than indifference that would work with unreproducible events. By "unreproducible" do you mean unique events which literally are never seen again, such as "WOW!" signal? Or do you mean events which are not...
  • Commented on Metacommentary
    The fact that the model is wrong does not, however, make the model's predictions wrong: Newtonian mechanics and gravitation is an excellent approximation for speeds much less than c, weak gravity, and large objects. That means Newtonian mechanics is not...
  • Commented on Not a Manifesto
    What does that have to do with topic at hand? If you were responding to Unholyguy's claim that "There are actually remarkably few cultures in history, at least not Iron Age + cultures that were killed off by anything other...
  • Commented on Not a Manifesto
    When I was a kid, we had back-yard space ships with dress wearing house wives watching their kids go into space. Or close. Would it have made good SF stories to show our world of today? My immediate reaction was:...
  • Commented on Not a Manifesto
    **The hero is every obnoxious Mary Sue genius autodidact from SF dialed up to 11, and it can be very preachy, but somehow that didn't stop me from devouring it at top speed. Interesting. I could not stand "Harry Potter...
  • Commented on Not a Manifesto
    Magic, when it works, is spectacular, powerful, amazing, and very useful. When it works. And when you can get a wizard to work for you. But it is never something you can really rely on. The engineers and scientists of...
  • Commented on A brief, bitter quiz
    Yes. Both were "optional wars" from US perspectives. For the people who are currently fighting ISIS on the ground, there is nothing optional about it. And they would be more than happy to trade 18 for 2000. Yes, Somali swarm...
  • Commented on A brief, bitter quiz
    Barry, it's worth remembering that the Black Hawk Down Fiasco, which resulted in massive fatalities for the US Rangers, was a direct result of this tactic. Basically, everyone within earshot of the crash who had a gun ran towards the...
  • Commented on Crib Sheet: Neptune's Brood
    Barter, Graeber points out, isn't something that emerges, and that acts as a precursor to the development of money: rather, barter is what we get in atomized societies when fiscal systems collapse and nobody trusts their neighbours. True primitive tribal...
  • Commented on The Snowden leaks; a meta-narrative
    That page on Deep Blue Horizon does not seem to exist any more [[ the link had a trailing full stop, which may have caused your browser issues - I've fixed that mod ]]...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    If we assume that future sea level rise of a few meters will disable most of our ports, I find it an unwarranted assumption. Ports -- which is basically docks and warehouses, -- are not that hard to build. If...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Your statement is true if the species is at the hard limit of its environmental carrying capacity, and that carrying capacity is stable. But the species don't decide to limit their reproduction; their population is constrained by the available resources...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Now that I think of it, every species in existence from elephants (6 offspring per lifetime) to sunfish (several million offspring per lifetime) produces just enough offspring that two end up reproducing. For technological humans, this number is 2.1....
  • Commented on Generation Z
    spamming the planet with copies of yourself is a strategy that tends to dominate over time Are you claiming that Mormons, Amish, and the like will end up dominating the Earth? Because everybody else figured out that they need fewer...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Actually, every UN official estimate for milestones which already happened, turned out to be too high, not too low. I am saying "UN" because that's the source of the graphs on the Wiki page you listed....
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Where did I say sustainable society is impossible? I said it has to be static. As were examples you just gave....
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Agree. Simplest illustration why a sustainable society will never work unless it is intellectually stagnant and highly coercive: In a sustainable society energy production must remain constant, or at most fluctuate in a known pattern. If energy production increases with...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Actually, most of Europe has negative population growth, which is also incompatible with sustainable economy. Badgering people into having 2.1 children when they'd rather have 0.8 may be actually trickier than one-child policy....
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    Thank you, it makes sense!...
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    Study after study shows that small farms are 2 times to 10 times more productive than big farms. That's pretty hard to believe considering the opposite is true in every other industry. Does economy of scale not apply to agriculture...
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    My understanding is that these figures are only true in warm weather. In winter the range drops by half easily, if not more....
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    Just from your summary, I am quite certain I could not stand it....
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    For me, the spectacle of young men playing video games and living on food cards is a horrific dystopia, but of course you may have a different perception. Personally I'd rather seem them revolting than accepting such a docile, dead,...
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    When I tell people about basic income, they say "Well we have benefits already for people who don't work..." I find it hard to argue with them from this point on. Explain to such people how much less paperwork and...
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    Pretty much this. Considering that what makes "universal gentry" possible is automation, I have been saying for years that the model modern societies should emulate is Asimov's Aurora. Which had a universal basic income....
  • Commented on A hypothesis
    Total incompetence, or conspiracy? I'll go with the former, so far I would go with "reflexive hoarding of data"...
  • Commented on Schadenfreude
    The only part of Wilson's article I find unrealistic (or not thought through) is "offer $100,000 to any worker who designs a machine which replaces him." No individual is ever "replaced by a machine" -- rather, entire production chains with...
  • Commented on Schadenfreude
    So a female banker is a bankress?...
  • Commented on Miscellanea
    I thought the most disbelief-straining aspect of the Laundry Files was the core premise — that a secret government agency with inadequate oversight and transparency could actually exist, have a well-defined role, and evidently be good at it's job (mostly)....
  • Commented on Can We Avoid a Surveillance State Dystopia?
    flying cars were a routine part of the future in the '70s (Larry Niven's "Known Space" is full of them). As far as I can recall, almost all flying cars in Known Space were actually "flying taxis" -- controlled by...
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