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• Casual Observer commented on Why AIs Won't Ascend in the Blink of an Eye - Some Math
  That'd depend on what you consider "sensibly low", but I think the main point is that facial-recognition software is not a hypothetical thing in 2014. It's an established technology in widespread use, and it works by fitting a parameterized model of the face, rather than by bytewise comparing images. Manipulating a 3-dimensional computer model, and going forward and backward between the model and a "snapshot", is pretty standard stuff these days, and the popularity of 3D graphics (games, movies, design software ...) has helped drive lots of specialized hardware and software for it. There's free and even open-source facial-recognition software...
• Casual Observer commented on Why AIs Won't Ascend in the Blink of an Eye - Some Math
  Going back to the original curves, I suspect that it's a red herring to try to read too much out of any manageable function estimating how hard it is to achieve a certain "intelligence level". A definition of intelligence that can use a single parameter to describe the wide range from dogs, through monkeys, to one person being smarter than another, to whatever hypothetical entity is way smarter than people, is a pretty slippery thing. Consider, too, that the difference in intelligence between a person and a cat is likely to be qualitatively different from the difference in intelligence between...
• Oren commented on Why AIs Won't Ascend in the Blink of an Eye - Some Math
  Facial recognition itself does not somehow become a person. It is a weak AI in the stack of weak AIs that would have to be interacting with one another to emerge a person. The big question is how big of a stack would one have to build and how many flavors of weak AIs would one have to invent before the result was as malleable, creative and intelligent (in the problem solving realm) as your average human....
• Keith commented on Why AIs Won't Ascend in the Blink of an Eye - Some Math
  What kind of weak AI stack-suite is available now? If there isn't one, what would you put in it? Keith...
• Oren commented on Why AIs Won't Ascend in the Blink of an Eye - Some Math
  Obviously if I knew the whole stack, I wouldn't be having this conversation with you... I'd be too busy building a strong AI. As a first pass, I'd want to include: Sound processing Sound fingerprinting Sound to language translation Natural language processing Sound location modeling Visual shapes processing Visual location processing Visual object identification Visual object generalization Facial recognition Monkey sphere processing Social hierarchy modeling Spacial object modeling Conceptual modeling Conceptual reprocessing and goal seeking Path finding Self modeling Mirror modeling Hunger modeling Sleep cycling/memory reprocessing Boredom modeling Expectation/disappointment modeling Once you've got all those systems up and doing a...