DeMarquis

DeMarquis

  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "EC You realise, of course, that your argument in # 598 is a demolition of the "future is fixed"/"no free will"/"brickverse" hypothesis?" Actually, it isn't. Please see my comments above....
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "I think you're saying that the universe is (at least quasi-) deterministic in the macro and the general, even while it might be aleatory or chaotic in the specific and the detail." No, what I am saying is that the...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "The weather forecasters, climatologists, orbital mechanics people and others would dissent; they are all in the business of predicting the future of chaotic systems. As I said, you can't predict the details in the long term, but there are usually...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "No, I don't. That was why WE were interested in steam engines but, as a little bit of research will show you, there were plenty of people in other countries who were, too, and plenty of other use cases. Without...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "The annoying physical problem is that chaos is so complicated that, to know the outcome of some chaotic events, you'd need a computer bigger than all the particles in the universe not involved in said random event to simulate it...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    Not only would we survive, you and I would have this conversation again. The exact same subatomic particles would decay at the exact same time. There is no chance in the universe... only complexity....
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "Gould famously said that if we rewound the tape of evolution to the dinosaurs humanity as we know it wouldn't have evolved again. There are enough contingencies in industrialization that it appears to me that the same applies there" Ah,...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "Gould famously said that if we rewound the tape of evolution to the dinosaurs humanity as we know it wouldn't have evolved again. There are enough contingencies in industrialization that it appears to me that the same applies there" Ah,...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "Nope. The theory of punctuated equilibrium is old news. Gould and Lewontin were correct in their observations, but they're now a sideline in modern evolution." I think you misunderstood the context of my statement. I was responding to Robert Prior,...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "And the reasons the mines were and are wet is (a) due to the geology and (b) that rainfall and minimal evaporation. You are trying to look for causes that don't exist - those factors can best be regarded as...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "To your question, arguably, deep, wet mines. England's minerals had been mined since neolithic times, and most of the surface deposits had gone. And many of the sub-surface mines were wet. Rome was much earlier in the exploitation process. What...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    Sorry, I missed you the first time through, so my replies are out of order. "So you disagree with Steven Jay Gould on evolution, then?" The theory of punctuated equilibrium, which is what I assume you are referring to, states,...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "I think people who have studied evolutionary theory or Black Swan theory would argue that the effect of happenstance approaches 1 over time." For the effect to approach 1 would require that everything that is happening right now is the...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    "Let's get this straight: The Industrial Revolution occurred in ONE Country ( The UK ) - with France close behind, what a surprise. Why? I wonder ... the UK's "aristocracy" was not frightened of getting its hands dirty or being...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    For large enough spans of time and across enough distance, the effect of happenstance approaches 0. There is some objective reason the Industrial Revolution occurred in Europe when it did, that we can be sure of. Whether we know yet...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    Sure, but, a lot depends on how strongly they believe it. Most of that 38% do not believe that Biden stole the election very strongly--it's mostly a way to vent anger at the loss of employment security, and cultural privilege....
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    Normally I would agree with you, because in most cases that would be the wiser mindset. But there is an exception: when your life was broken from the beginning, from before you were born, and there are no pieces to...
  • Commented on The gathering crisis
    I don't know much about what is happening over there, but I did find the following in the NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/16/world/europe/uk-energy-bills-inflation.html?searchResultPosition=2 "Leadership Vacuum Heightens Worries as Crises Loom in U.K. As energy prices and inflation soar under a caretaker prime minister,...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    [Me] It depends on whether the goal is victory for our side at any cost, or re-uniting the country somehow. And remember that the system of checks and balances exists to ensure that these two things are tightly bound to...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    Well, "insight" may be too strong a word, but yes, he did sense the opportunity and grasp it....
  • Commented on The ends of education
    To quote from your article: "Trump's incitement of the invasion of the Capitol on January 6, 2020 removes my objection to the fascist label. His open encouragement of civic violence to overturn an election crosses a red line." The problem,...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    "Let's imagine the worst, that Gini is in fact guilty of something awful, and that she's convicted and sent to jail. That leaves Thomas the choice of going down fighting, and leaving exactly the same impression as Trump is currently...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    "Sorry, I should probably have addressed this above. I've been thinking about the issues about the Right for awhile, and they seem very much like the protagonists of a Lovecraft story to me." Bigotry is a big part of it,...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    I don't see how anyone could "force" Thomas to resign, regardless of anything brought against him or his wife. They are both true believers, and would probably rather die than surrender in the face of what they would see as...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    "I have to disagree a bit. By refusing to address the issue of gerrymandering, the Supreme Court has already tilted the playing field toward Republican candidates in these and any future elections for the foreseeable future." The SC has addressed...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    "Second, the idea of holding hearings is NOT to convert the Magats. It's to spread information to independents/moderate Republicans and convince them to lean away from the crazy Republicans during the next election. (We can't win this "one nutcase at...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    Reforming the Supreme Court has been discussed for many generations. There are a lot of good ideas out there, any one of which would undoubtedly improve it's performance as an institution. But I also can't think of anything more fraught...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    "Call Gini Thomas into the January 6th hearings, ask the hard questions about about her and to her, then call a Judiciary Committee hearing and find out why her husband didn't recuse himself from cases where she was involved? They're...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    "I suspect the judgement of history will be that the Democrats did a terrible job of fighting against fascism during the period from Newt Gingrich's election as Speaker of the House until at least the present day" Well, authoritarianism anyway,...
  • Commented on The ends of education
    "Hi Greg. I'm not entirely sure how likely it is. There are far too many variables, and you need to remember that the U.S. is a large place. But ultimately it comes down to two things. First, how hard/smart do...
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