Daniel Duffy

Daniel Duffy

  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    How about the Sagan Scale (created by Carl Sagan). from Wikipedia article on the Kardeshev scale: Alternatively, Carl Sagan suggested adding another dimension in addition to pure energy usage: the information available to the civilization. He assigned the letter A...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    >Unless THEY figured out a way to hide their heat signatures You mean, unless they learned how to violate the basic laws of physics. And would even go to the troubled of doing so....
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    Interesting idea for a deep future SF series: Humanity achieves a Kardshev level 2 civilization and spreads across the galaxy (vol 1 - Spring) and a galaxy wide web of life and intelligence is established (vol 2 - Summer) followed...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    >Sorry, you are assuming that we would even RECOGNISE their technology. We would recognize their heat signatures. Something that can't be hidden - no matter what technology they use....
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    The best family planning is to simply educate girls. In fact, we may have already grossly over estimated how large the world's population will get given the advances in technology that bring knowledge and education to girls and the changes...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    >"WE are SPECIAL" No, we are rare. Very rare. As in rare Earth with an even rarer large stabilizing moon. Any advanced alien civilization even a few 10,000s of years ahead of us should have spread throughout most of the...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    And don't expect to find any Ancient Old Ones or the Engineers from "Prometheus". Gamma ray bursts kept life from developing for mos of the history of the universe. Gamma ray bursts (GRBs) in the early galaxy snuffed out life...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    The problem with the Fermi paradox is: if there are other alien civilizations more advanced than our own, then their presence should obvious. Their heat signatures should light up the night sky. Whether it's Dyson spheres or swarms, starships travelling...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    I've never been the executor of a will but modern death requires a lot of paperwork. https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702303627104576410234039258092 The 25 Documents You Need Before You Die Will Letter of instruction Trust documents Living will Life insurance policies Do-not-resuscitate order Tax returns...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    For some reason I have always thought of a green funeral as comforting. Just plant a tree on top of me, preferably an oak. https://therevelator.org/make-death-green-again/?fbclid=IwAR3sYrdns0K-tCkA7FsXnRz8IE8Kx6smGONh9QXL5onUy_3yD4dn12Tsksw Make Death Green Again A more promising development is the rapid growth in various shades...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    >I have no interest in having Germany win WW2. Nobody does. My point is that we build counter-factuals around physical things. So we discuss oil production, tank design, tactics and strategy - when a lot depends on psychological factors. The...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Getting back to Germany winning WW2... Two things have to happen. 1. The Germans have to prevent the BEF from escaping at Dunkirk. After such a disaster with half the British army in German POW camps, even Churchill (let alone...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    And people tend to forget that the Versailles Treaty was far more gentle and kind than the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk that the Germans imposed on a defeated Russia (loss of Poland, the Baltics, White Russia, Ukraine, Crimea, massive indemnities, etc.)...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    As for our looming demographic/financial crisis this video provides a nice summary: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5OFaZcC0lRU But the problem is now we're facing the demographic time bomb. I remember when I was back at Goldman Sachs in the late '90s. Some of my...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    From a previous post of mine, a method that will get you both FTL and time travel. The idea involves creating wormholes via the Casmir effect and using them as time machines. For a simple explanation of how these would...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    This write up: http://karbuz.blogspot.com/2006/10/oil-logistics-lesson-from-wwii-3.html provides an excellent analysis of Soviet oil vulnerability and details of Operation Pike planning....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    >how big was the Soviet strategic oil reserve in 1941 http://www.visions.az/en/news/580/588903a7/ Stalingrad was a prime target for Hitler. It is enough to look at a map of oil deposits and oil pipelines in the east during World War II to...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Germans don't need to go to Baku, only cut off oil shipment on the Volga by seizing Stalingrad. All they needed to meet their own oils needs was Grozny and Maikop in the norther Caucasus. And without oil, there is...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    >Iran and Iraq (where the oil came from: see also, Battleships) You might be interested in this video on how oil was the only thing of importance in WWII at a time when the US produced 70% of the world's...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Well if you really want sleepless nights, read "America the Farewell Tour" by Chris Hedges: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GeE5WnTUsF8 and https://www.truthdig.com/articles/reign-of-idiots/ The idiots take over in the final days of crumbling civilizations. Idiot generals wage endless, unwinnable wars that bankrupt the nation. Idiot...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Well if parliament is not working, there is still her royal highness Queen Elizabeth. According to one of my favorite YouTube channels ("Today I found Out" with Simon Whistler - who is both very informative and very witty), despite what...
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    One more word on the need to massively expand nuclear power: https://www.wsj.com/articles/only-nuclear-energy-can-save-the-planet-11547225861?mod=e2fb Only Nuclear Energy Can Save the Planet Do the math on replacing fossil fuels: To move fast enough, the world needs to build lots of reactors Today, more...
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    But not as far into the realm of fantasy as "safe surface-based fission nuclear plants constructed in very large numbers with 20 years". Very difficult, but not a fantasy. Back of the envelop calculations for the number of nukes needed...
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    "obviously, a tenth of the amount of natural sunlight received by the planet. Total solar input to the planet is about 104 times total current human energy production" Nope, plants need only a small part of the spectrum to grow....
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    Declining workforce can be compensated with increased productivity from robotics and AI. But demand does not increase. There are only so many things a person will buy even if they have the money to do so. How many yachts and...
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    I think Yuval Noah Harari in his book "Sapiens" explains he difference between ancient and modern capitalism. The difference is that in an ancient society where there is no economic growth (the pie never gets bigger) one man can become...
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    "Global TFR is 2.4" And falling. When TFR gets below 2.1, population aging sets in followed by population decline. Which may save the planet, but ruin the economy. Capitalism itself cannot survive the demographic transition to lower birth rates, graying...
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    Agree with you on everything but organic farming. It requires 50% to 100% more land than industrial farming to produce the same amount of food. Going over to organic farming would destroy what little habitat we have left. The ideal...
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    "faraciton"? I'm guilty of typing without coffee....
  • Commented on Crawling from the wreckage
    This is very big news: https://www.igb.illinois.edu/article/scientists-engineer-shortcut-photosynthetic-glitch-boost-crop-growth-40 We'll need this to feed 10 billion people. "Plants convert sunlight into energy through photosynthesis; however, most crops on the planet are plagued by a photosynthetic glitch, and to deal with it, evolved an...
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