MattS

MattS

  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Dual keying might be better, similar to the US missile bases in Europe during the Cold War....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Well the historical precedent would be the partitioning of India in '47. SO everybody in the south whose a Remainer moves to Scotland, likewise all Leavers leave for the south. Life imitates art and the City of London becomes it's...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    The associated map of whose voted where is really interesting, although I'm not sure that a deadline of 20 August 2019 really captures the in your face urgency of the issue....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Consulting my crystal ball I think that EU27 will be inclined to give a short extension because Ireland is under prepared (to put it mildly) for a no deal exit. Bottom line is the Republic needs time to get ready...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Yes, more importantly it washes out the Erskine May rule that you can't consider the same question twice. Shortest prorogue was about two days but really it need only be a couple of hours. All getting a bit sporty now!...
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    Her majesty doesn't have to dissolve parliament or force an election, just summon the current PM and give them a letter advising that they no longer have the confidence of the crown. Exeunt former PM with a sigh of relief....
  • Commented on The Inevitable Brexit Thread (1)
    After Brexit (assuming it goes that way) there'll still be the trade negotiations with the EU and it's not going to happen over night, Canada's FTA with the EU took 7 years for example. Given the UK's a service economy...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Surely you mean a gigantic boudin noir?...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    When were you last in China? That four babies for minorities used to be the case for some rural families with urban minority couples allowed three, but as of 2017 minorities are treated the same as the Han, e.g. two...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    As a little bit of good news, both our Australian Houses of Parliament have voted against the government to not treat the remaining detainees on Nauru quite as beastly as we had before. Of course the Government promptly proceeded to...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Yeah, it's pretty bad. Most people, make a category mistake about China when they assume they're dealing with nation state when in actuality they're dealing with an empire. And there's a lot of subject nations within that empire not just...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Lets not give the CCP an inch of credibility on any issue, “Who after all speaks today of the annihilation of the Uighur?”...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Greg, that's what mainlining on un-cut high grade democracy looks like....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Surely if the US federal government can sort out graves registration for the US population in the event of WWIII this is strictly a one pipe problem?...
  • Commented on Deaths and Deadlines
    Death is a mystery and the grave a secret to quote Mr King....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Wasn't it Putin who said, "Guns before Cheezels"?...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    *"..got is mean absolute deviation". Should have picked that up, sorry....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Hey Greg, correction to HH's comment. All the Nazi's went to Western Australia OK....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Yep, there's a spectrum of distributions beyond the gaussian, and as we work our way outwards the central limit assumption falters as we start to encounter Pareto laws then super-cubic and then stable Levy. At each stage we lose our...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    I'll start with an example and explain why our usual bag of statistical tricks find heavy tails difficult. I teach a university class from time to time, so say I sum up the height of four random students in my...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    As Nassim Taleb points out in Black Swans we seem to be hardwired to assume we live in a normal world were events cluster around some average value, even though in reality the world is determinedly non-normal and the next...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Strategically planting back the trees along the riverbanks can work, take a tributary stream to a main river then foresting the area round it, let the stream make its own meanders, and allow the dead wood from the forest to...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    I find the '100 years flood' way of describing a 1% chance per year really misleading, and I deal with these sort of calculations on a regular basis. To illustrate there's a cumulative probability of approximately 63% that a 100...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    There’s no concept of ‘district’ or that district sizes should ensure equal populations in the constitution. District size based on equal population has been inferred from the constitution by the Supreme Court since about the 60s....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Unelected anthropoids? What like the Electoral college? Slightly more seriously I'd suggest leaving the state boundaries alone, OK I'm a federalist, and focus on passing an amendment that federal electoral divisions within a state or territory should have approximately the...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    So you have a permanent nonpartisan constitutional commission charged with revising electoral boundaries on the basis of demographic changes?...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Oh we don’t stop with career criminals. We’ll deport people of aboriginal descent for example if they fail to gain citizenship, it’s kind of like the general case of section 44 of the constitution. And if you’ve got dual and...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    You could always impose universal mandatory voting*, apply proportional representation rather than first past the post, reform the House of Lords, formalise the reserved powers of the monarch and require supermajority plebiscites? *Citizenship guarantees service....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    My vote is for the Ferry To Hong Kong solution, ‘I am sorry Mr Assange but your papers, they are not in order..’. Happily Rupert relinquished his citizenship and the and he’s no longer our problem....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Jan 26th (Australia Day for you non-Ozzie’s) is at the moment a bit like Thunderdome, y’know, two versions of history enter but only one leaves. FWIW my monies still on the guy with the small-pox scars,...
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