Thomas Jørgensen

Thomas Jørgensen

  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    But such a row of houses can - and will - also acquire a row of poles with an outlet and just enough smarts to talk to your phone. So those parking spots become fungible to you, as far as...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    Again, the bulk of all charging is going to happen at home, or home adjacent, (if you do not have any reliable parking at all, why do you own a car, full stop?) because that is going to be cheapest...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    Eh.. charging will, as previously established, take place overwhelmingly at night because that is when the cars are standing still hooked up to the grid at or near the owners residence. Further, their charging will be managed to level demand...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    The current battery pack design is fairly obviously not what is going to be the long term solve for this, just because building a 100 kwh package out of huge numbers of a base cell meant to power and fit...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    63 kgs of lithium in a 70kwh battery pack, at twelve dollars per kilo, 786 dollars. Nope, this is not a cost contributor that matters much, unless their manufacturing process is insanely wasteful of the stuff.. in which case that...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    Batteries do not need to get a whole lot better on density ect to revolutionize cars - Tesla demonstrates the present state of the art on density allows for a good car. They will get better, and that will help...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    Highspeed charging other than for road trips is a problem that does not need solving. The problem you solve instead is making damn sure that everywhere that a car is parked overnight is also a place it can charge overnight....
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    Not really. Charge points are a popular talking point, but they are not a meaningful limit for actual use. You need charge points on the long-haul highways. Those are needed so that people can drive on vacation in an electric...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    Electric car sales are on a solid upward curve for every country I could find stats on. Hybrids are down. Note that this curve will probably go non-linear in a very impressive way at some point, depending on manufacturing capacity...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    Hybrids were a bet that batteries would not get good enough. Batteries are good enough, thus, technological dodo - They are more complicated to design and manufacture than an all electric car, and the car designers can draw a line...
  • Commented on Why I barely read SF these days
    ... This may be a tangent, but there is a concept which must have a formal name, which I am blanking on. Prices are set where the cost of the marginal producer meets the utility of the marginal consumer. But...
  • Commented on The crazy years
    Yhea, but we do not live in an economy where people inherit their professions, nor do they live out their days in the ancestral parish. The great bulk of not-liquid assets people hold will be their domicile and their means...
  • Commented on The crazy years
    Estate taxes - since all taxes are fungible as far as the purpose of removing money from circulation goes - are a better tax than the other taxes they replace. No natural-law argument against them that holds water, no efficient-allocation-of-capital...
  • Commented on The crazy years
    I know how it works, I am merely pointing out that it is insane. From a society-wide standpoint, the value add of universities are 100 percent the actual skills they teach - The network effects do not make the USA...
  • Commented on The crazy years
    US education is suffering from a severe case of rent-extraction. Lots of customer does not price-shop at all, but is aiming for the most prestigious school they can get into. This means the schools have buggerall incentive to even attempt...
  • Commented on The crazy years
    ... News - in the sense of "At least somewhat accurate information about what is happening in the world" is needed for all political decision making. That is also why this well gets poisoned every Tuesday, Friday, and every second...
  • Commented on New Book Week!
    I honestly presumed they knew absolutely nothing except that there was a world-walker agent in Germany, thanks to five-eyes type bullshit, and they just did a snatch on general principles. Note that they do not even seem to notice they...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    ... Evolution only applies to imperfect replicators. Selection over natural variation, remember. If we build AIs that qualify, we are both going to die, and have it coming for being too stupid to live. Seriously, I am not that panicked...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    Self preservation is not actually a value you can count on an AI to have. Much like corporations do entirely suicidal things on occasion, they are not evolved minds, so "Dont die" is not a priority they come with out...
  • Commented on Dude, you broke the future!
    China kind of has to build the cities ahead of time. Historical China was built on village industry - A gazillion tiny places where people spent just enough time farming to feed themselves, and the rest of the year on...
  • Commented on PSA: Please don't nominate the Laundry Files for a Best Series Hugo Award (this year)
    .. American jurisprudence on guns makes no sense. The obvious reading on the second amendment is "Swiss style universal militia", not "The right to bear militarily useless handguns everywhere"... But of course, the straight-forward reading would have required black neighborhoods...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    Uhm. Well, even if arbitrary video can be faked, it should still be possible to generate records that are credible because they have an audited history. But will anyone outside the court systems care?...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    .. A high quality one time pad for practical use is a sequence of ones and zeroes where each consecutive number has a roughly fifty-fifty chance of being either with no way to predict any entry in the list even...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    .. Honestly, I suspect one major reason one time pads are not more popular is that once you have decided to go with that, the entire rest of the job becomes a lengthy exercise in execution. Making sure noone stuck...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    You can sell the service to non-citizens. At least those in jurisdictions that do not declare the pads contraband - They have to be physically delivered with a solid chain of custody, after all. And it gets you security against...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Not to mention, why would the server racks even have ports for the copying of things? If you get a court order for someones mail, you yank the entire drive. Okay, the disruption of service tells the suspect in question...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Ehh.. you do not need to label the disks in the infinite server racks by name, you know. So you bribe enough employees to covertly copy someones key. There are actually ways to make that really difficult (.. see, for...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    .. If a hostile power is militarily occupying Brussels, we have bigger problems than the email histories of the past couple of years. You do realize you are talking about a trainload of hard drives? Compromising the star in the...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Abusing it is tempting, but not remotely as useful as having it be trusted. - Because if it is, your entire economy become secure against corporate espionage and a bunch of other information hazards. Most of what the KGB did...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Uhm... I just realized. There is one, very large, and very rich customer for one time pad crypto. Politicians keep asking for secure cryptography with government back doors in them. ... That is, in fact, doable with one time pads....
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