Charles H

Charles H

  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    re: 112 When you say you don't expect a general AI, you need to include a time scale, even if you mean never. The assertion that it won't ever happen is probably true, but only if you accept that people...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    There was also "Big Ball of Wax" by Shepherd Mead, though that was more about the porn possibilities of virtual reality. Still, the implications were there....
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    The thing is, in The Matrix society was automated enough to not need people working to keep *it* working. We're a long way from that point. And this may cause a collapse before we get there. ---- And my note...
  • Commented on What can possibly go wrong?
    You don't need Basilisks. A society that essentially demands internet use combined with an AI that "helpfully" creates more and more addictive ... sites isn't quite correct, so I'll say videos, but that's wrong because they'd be interactive ... videos...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Ordinary money is stuff that a government promises to accept as a payoff so that it won't steal your property. Because of this it has value to people other than the government. It's quite possible to argue either way as...
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    Thank you. I always distinguish between "libertarian", which I consider myself to be, and "Libertarian" which is something quite different, and extremely unsavory. OTOH, I also consider myself a "conservative", i.e., someone who wants to conserve the good features of...
  • Commented on A bright and shiny hell
    Borderline illegal? No. Quite definitely illegal. It is illegal within the US to accept Foreign Money to influence a US election. It's probably also illegal to pay the money, but the payee probably wasn't within the US. I'm no lawyer,...
  • Commented on Houston: what are the long-term consequences?
    No, "The General's President" involved ONE general (from the Joint Chief of Staff) selecting a president and him being legally approved via an existing emergency process. Including having the outgoing president appoint him as VP prior to voluntarily "resigning for...
  • Commented on Houston: what are the long-term consequences?
    An unfortunate truth is that news photos are always misleading, and intentionally so. This isn't (usually) because of a political agenda, it's because news depends on entertainment value, so they carefully edit (crop and pick angles, AFAICT they don't actually...
  • Commented on Houston: what are the long-term consequences?
    The melting of the ice caps will yield a global redistribution of stress as the weight of the ice lifts off one place and is added (as water) in another place. This means you should expect increases in earthquakes and...
  • Commented on Houston: what are the long-term consequences?
    The problem with "moving the cities uphill" is that all the land is already owned by someone. A secondary problem is that cities tend to be built on the best farmland, which tends to be flat. So there often won't...
  • Commented on Houston: what are the long-term consequences?
    Insurance won't cancel home coverage, they'll just split off flood & storm damage the way they did earthquake insurance in California (don't know about elsewhere). Then they'll raise the rates on flood & storm coverage until they're guaranteed a profit....
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    Well, UStatian isn't generally understood, and American includes Canada, Mexico, and points south. So USian seems reasonable to me, a Californian. (My coinage was UStatian...but that was only used humorously.)...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    Depending on the age group, living in communal settings is desirable...but there are also huge costs, and it's an age related thing. Once you are getting ready to start a family it loses most of it's appeal. And economic appeal...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    Remember, education is the deadly enemy of any "revealed" religion That's the traditional story, but that's not precisely what history shows. Revealed religions seem to flourish when there are a bunch of people who have no hope for ? in...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    Increased stacking is what I expect to happen EVEN IF Moore's law has hit the wall, because that shortens the paths, and thus speeds things up. But because of stacking I also expect it hasn't hit the wall. There may,...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    You can't be sure that Moore's law is dead yet. Or, in fact, that it will hit the wall short of computronium. It may, but more likely it's just a current slow-down that will pick up again as soon as...
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    Isn't the term for 2017 surveillance "sparrow-fart"? Or wouldn't it be that good yet? Quantum Computers seem to be starting to appear, but so far they require liquid Helium temperatures. It seems quite possible, though, that liquid Nitrogen could eventually...
  • Commented on The internet of decay
    It's not just at the stoplight that you can't hear an electric car. Tyre noise doesn't become significant until over 15 mph...different people, of course, have different levels of sensitivity to sound...and on local streets I often see a silent...
  • Commented on The internet of decay
    I disagree. Mediocre and worse programmers are employed (as programmers) because those making the personnel decisions don't have any capability of recognizing a good programmer. There is probably also a shortage of good programmers, but that's not the basic reason...
  • Commented on The internet of decay
    "Do not have any 'internet of things' devices in your house" is already difficult. My printer keeps asking to be internet enabled. I don't have a TV, but many TVs already want to be internet enabled, and it's quite possible...
  • Commented on Eleven Tweets
    Martin Gardner was excessively conventional in what he believed. I trust him in mathematics, and when he says that something is possible, but he's much to willing to take a narrow view of the evidence, and sometimes he's been wrong....
  • Commented on Eleven Tweets
    That this is an old idea doesn't make it invalid. And critical thinking has become much more important with the rise of fast communications. And it's also true that while some people have been taught critical thinking, or had tendencies...
  • Commented on Playtime is over
    I think the problem is basically economics. Before WWII Germany was severely depressed (well, so were other places, but Germany is where it happened). Currently large areas are severely depressed because of changes due to automation and international competition. (Please...
  • Commented on The Day After
    I not only was unaware, I disbelieved it so much that the first time it was (implicitly) cast into doubt, I misread the comment. After running across another, more explicit rebuttal, I went and looked it up. Since this is...
  • Commented on The Day After
    It could be that he's remembering all those events, and *still* predicting that this will be looked back on as good governance. Things could get a lot worse. I don't know whether they will. The VP picks of both Clinton...
  • Commented on The Day After
    I believe both China and India have nuclear weapons. Also somebody else...Pakistan? Afganistan? And any base that services nuclear subs. Besides which, in a maximal nuclear war, anybody who's an ally of a nuclear power is likely to get hit....
  • Commented on The Day After
    AFAIKT, the problem was that just about nobody really liked Hillary, and some people really like Trump. More people than usual stayed home. I held my nose and voted for Hillary, even though I knew that it didn't matter because...
  • Commented on The Day After
    It's an unfortunate truth, however, that people tend to feel more altruistic towards people who are more similar to them. You can say that it's immoral, but it's a built-in and evolved part of human nature. Which makes it interesting...
  • Commented on The Day After
    That's not clear. There are vague rumors that Trump may be blackmailed by Putin for something he did during a trip to Moscow. Given what he openly admits, I have a hard time imagining what he would do that would...
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