heteromeles

heteromeles

  • Commented on Generation Z
    By the way, congratulations, Charlie, on your (cough, cough) totally unexpected Hugo nominations for Neptune's Brood and Equoid. I hope that having two in the running won't jinx you or anything....
  • Commented on Generation Z
    True. One thing this has pointed out is that I've got an unusual view of what a port is. To me it's not just the docks, it's a shorthand for the whole coastal city. I'll have to be more precise...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Actually David, I didn't mean that you were criticizing me in that comment. I was thinking of the others that are. I do appreciate your support, and I should have made that more clear. As I noted above, I'm working...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Thanks David and all for the comments and criticism on this. One thing I'd add is that at the moment, glacial melt is not predictable. The climate scientists know that glaciers melt far faster than one would predict by assuming...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    That's true for the finished product. For the raw materials? It gets a bit more interesting. By the way, I've got to point out that one of the standard symptoms of societal collapse is the disappearance of technologies that have...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Actually, it's great to have a first hand report. Thanks. I've only seen the paperwork end. I'd agree that your methods work great, so long as you have lots of fossil fuels or some other form of concentrated energy. We'll...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Yes, Ilya, you haven't spent much time with planning, have you? Ports are enormously complicated beasts. It's not just the infrastructure, it's most especially the politics and more especially the ownership. I'm not greatly experienced with building port infrastructure, but...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Actually, there's a nice short cut to the future, courtesy climate change and sea level rise. If we assume that future sea level rise of a few meters will disable most of our ports, before sea level rise of a...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Ah. Okay, I see where you're coming from. Here's the deal as I understand it: the Cryogenian was (at a fairly good guess) a response to cyanobacteria finally starting to saturate the air with oxygen and to pull all the...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Actually, as I understand it, John Michael Greer has a degree in ecology, so I wouldn't go so far as to say he's not a scientist. He's certainly more informed on his particular issues than the average, say, computer scientist....
  • Commented on Generation Z
    I believe the proposal to dam the Golden Gate and turn it into a reservoir for the rest of the state was first floated in the 1950s or so. Daft then, daft now (note where the San Andreas runs!), but...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Hmmm. Something's weird about your numbers. I think what's got me scratching my head is that the Earth has been in greenhouse mode more often than icehouse mode (I think the ratio is something like 4:1). Where was all that...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    That's where it gets awkward. Probably it will take another century or two for the climate to stabilize based on carbon going in. Right now, we're supposedly (and I don't have a definitive source on this, so it may be...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Yep. Thanks to Jay for the original post. HEre's the paper abstract (from: http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n1/full/ngeo2007.html ) "Vast quantities of carbon are stored in shallow Arctic reservoirs, such as submarine and terrestrial permafrost. Submarine permafrost on the East Siberian Arctic Shelf started...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Yeah. To state for the third time, for those who didn't read, I'm looking at the scenario where humans survive, because I think that's most likely. It's also the situation no one wants to look at, where we radically change...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Hm. Might want to read Curt Stager (Deep Future) and David Archer (The Long Thaw) for another viewpoint. Ward likes to be extremist, and he loves the Permian. On rereading Under a Green Sky, I liked it a lot less...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    I love how we've evolved from something like 70,000 years of very close to sustainable societies to someone who says it can't happen. History says they do. As one historian noted, sustainability is actually very simple: you put some people...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Reading Peter Ward? I'm talking about the more extreme predictions coming from the climate scientists, such as David Archer's The Long Thaw (this is the pop-science version. You can also read the IPCC 5 for free if you want). While...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    That's an interesting magic act. In theory, it's great for cities to buy out bad debt and turn it into good, provided there's money with which to buy those debts. Where does that money come from? Well, ultimately, property taxes...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Nice! For more rigorous maps, I prefer National Geographic's ice free map better (http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2013/09/rising-seas/if-ice-melted-map), and for fiddling, the controllable Global Sea Level Rise Map (http://geology.com/sea-level-rise/), but it's all worth looking at. Still, Dubia's got some nice details, and if you're...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Sure. I'm working on a project to answer the question: "What will the world look like if some of the worse predictions of climate change come to pass, but humans don't go extinct?" Mind you, I'm looking into the deep...
  • Commented on Generation Z
    Charlie, Are you sure that poverty has been decreasing? Yes, the World Bank says that poverty (defined as living on less than $1.25/day) decreased from 1.908 billion in 1990 to 1.215 billion in 2010 (source: http://povertydata.worldbank.org/poverty/home/). However, during that time,...
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    What anonemouse said. The May National Geographic has an article on future food production, if it helps, and it looks to be pretty nuanced about the benefits and shortcomings of both conventional and small-scale agriculture....
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    Efficient in terms of what? Study after study shows that small farms are 2 times to 10 times more productive than big farms. Large farms work because: 1. Big Ag has huge sway in Washington DC, so agricultural policy disproportionally...
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    I'm somewhere deep in the waiting line for the local library's copies. I've seen reviews from both sides that make me think it's great news for economists (unlike, say, Graeber's Debt or Taleb's Black Swan). The news reports of the...
  • Commented on "Write me something fresh and new, but make it just like the last one"
    If we're talking about novels where the architecture is the central player, Jane Lindskold's Child of a Rainless Year definitely counts. I love the house at the center of the story....
  • Commented on Heartbleed note
    The other thing that might work is when there are critical failure of Big Data. So far, we've had embarrassing and totally predictable failures of Big Data. Unfortunately, it's going to take missing a pandemic or some such issue where...
  • Commented on A nation of slaves
    Two other things about solar that most people don't think about. One thing is that solar panels are really good shades, so having PV on your roof cuts the amount of sunlight hitting and heating up the building, even if...
  • Commented on "Write me something fresh and new, but make it just like the last one"
    Things are never collapsing back to the way they were. This is the Fundamental Law of Things. Well yes, of course. It's a very popular fallacy though. If you look at the what people project into a post-collapse future, it...
  • Commented on "Write me something fresh and new, but make it just like the last one"
    Too bad zombies are peaking (or even past peak) now. As for those magicians, tie in climate change adaptation and you've probably got a winner. It's not just the housing bubble, it's the utter idiocy of so many of the...
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