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  • Commented on What happens now?
    What he actually is, along with being weak and vain and a compulsive liar, is the World's most successful con man. I disagree, mostly. Famously he has made less money than he would have if he had simply stuck the...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    There was a large surge of people coming to DC because Trump had arranged a rally there and they were coming to the rally. Every football game or big rock concert involves a large surge of people all going to...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    Trump blew his chances by pulling the trigger two weeks prematurely (assuming it was intentional, and not just a chaotic fuck-up). I think there's an important point here. I think it was intentional in the sense that clearly he wanted...
  • Commented on What happens now?
    The obvious result is a split of some kind in what is now the Republican party, with the nazi faction in one part and the people who believe in democracy in the other. The problem with that is that the...
  • Commented on So you say you want a revolution
    The Bullingdon club is nothing to do with being an aristocrat. It's to do with being male, at Oxford, and having gone to one of a small set of 'right' schools. In other words, it's to do with your parents...
  • Commented on Countdown to Crazy
    Four more years of Trump means that humans will certainly fail to do enough to deal with climate change. In the short term that doesn't mean that much. If we survive long enough for there to be a long term,...
  • Commented on Countdown to Crazy
    You are obviously correct that brexit was something confected, and that a lot (although not all: something that the last few years seems to have shown is that there are a lot of people who have really, really vile views...
  • Commented on Countdown to Crazy
    I think that can't happen because it misses a fairly large elephant: London. I no longer recall where the brexit vote was strongest, but I do recall that the short answer was 'not London', which was pretty heavily remain. I...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    Same people who deal with it now: immigrants, largely. So even if we ignore the 'senile bigots really do not like immigrants' problem, immigrants from where? When exponential population growth ends, it ends: there are no more convenient unbounded...
  • Commented on No comment necessary
    It's not a bad thing (it's probably a good thing) if there are less people. But if the birth rate falls then, other things being equal, you go through a period where there are proportionally a lot more old people,...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    The other possibility is to go left and be honest. Now you're not forcing the right further right, there's a chance that the more moderates in that party might get a voice. You can move the window a bit left....
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    And I've finally realised what the whole 'I drove to test my eyesight' thing was probably about. Yes, it's a lie, and yes, it's an obvious lie that anyone could see is a lie. But really, it's an insult: what...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    I find that anything that can get me moving or laughing gets me over the inertia. I think the paths out probably vary. In my case what would happen is that I'd eventually get up and practice the guitar (or...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    I am not a diagnostician but I'd say he's at least an Asperger's if not full-blown autistic (and may Ghu forgive me for throwing terms like that around about someone I don't actually know personally). I think he's a psychopath,...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    So Cummings has said that he drove to Bernard Castle (having previously lied and said he didn't I think) to test his eyesight. Because that's what you do if you're worried about your eyesight: you get in a car, with...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    However, on a purely tactical basis what are they thinking? That's your mistake, right there. They weren't thinking: they can't thinking. The current government is dominated by people who think brexit-at-any-cost is a good idea, and who apparently look up...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    My mother (who used to work in the health service) pointed out to me both that he may not be recovered yet, and that he may not recover: who knows if he got enough oxygen? But if I wanted someone...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    But yes, if you have to go anywhere and riding your bike is the obvious option, that does seem to solve the bootstrap problem That's not quite the bootstrap problem. The bootstrap problem is that depression means there just isn't...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    I agree completely with this. If I can motivate myself to actually do anything at all when I'm seriously depressed, getting on my bike and riding is the single best thing I've discovered. The bootstrap problem is hard to solve...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    If I wanted to spread a conspiracy, I'd ask what Cummings has over Johnson that is preventing him being sacked. In particular what happened to that report on Russian interference in politics that so conveniently did not get published before...
  • Commented on Cough Cough
    Perhaps someone would like to run a model which will tell us: - about how many people died because of this (because they definitely did not drive all the way to Durham with a small child without stopping at service...
  • Commented on I ain't dead
    Reminder that there are (at least) two types of depression: reactive depression and endogenous depression. Reactive depression: something bad happened, so you feel bad about it. [...] Endogenous depression: nothing particularly unusual happened but you just want the world to...
  • Commented on I ain't dead
    And, by the way: if you are depressed you are ill. It took me a very long time to realise that depression, including my depression, is an illness, but it is. Sorry for the second comment: I forgot to add...
  • Commented on I ain't dead
    Surprisingly the whole lockdown thing has made me less depressed, although I'm not sure why. It helps we live somewhere we can take long walks without feeling we're pushing the limits of what we should do. But I also keep...
  • Commented on Update to Public Appearances in a time of pandemic
    So, people being very nervous about mingling in large public gatherings with people who've come from far away is one small step removed from 'people deciding they now have a really good excuse to not want to be very near...
  • Commented on Public appearances in a time of pandemic
    @Greg Tingey: I too can do the maths Unfortunately you're making it clear that you can't. There is considerable uncertainty as to both the number of people who will get it, the proportion of those people who will get ill...
  • Commented on Public appearances in a time of pandemic
    Greg Tingey: we're worrying because we can do the maths. There are 70 million people in the UK. If 50% of them get the virus and it has a mortality rate of 1% then 350,000 people will die. That's more...
  • Commented on The obligatory general election discussion post
    [In response to my 'who can blame him'] I can. If he couldn't do the job, he shouldn't have asked for it. Yes, exactly so. I was being either sarcastic or ironic: I never know the difference really. Whichever it...
  • Commented on The obligatory general election discussion post
    I think it does turn out that MPs are, well, just people. I wrote to my (tory) MP about the prorogation of parliament, suggesting that it was his primary job to democratically represent his electorate, and that he should do...
  • Commented on The obligatory general election discussion post
    Here's the thing. The johnson/tory 'let's get brexit done' slogan is a lie, as anyone who has been paying attention knows. The much-trumpeted deal covers only a tiny fraction of what has to happen to actually get brexit done. Getting...
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