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  • Commented on The obligatory general election discussion post
    [In response to my 'who can blame him'] I can. If he couldn't do the job, he shouldn't have asked for it. Yes, exactly so. I was being either sarcastic or ironic: I never know the difference really. Whichever it...
  • Commented on The obligatory general election discussion post
    I think it does turn out that MPs are, well, just people. I wrote to my (tory) MP about the prorogation of parliament, suggesting that it was his primary job to democratically represent his electorate, and that he should do...
  • Commented on The obligatory general election discussion post
    Here's the thing. The johnson/tory 'let's get brexit done' slogan is a lie, as anyone who has been paying attention knows. The much-trumpeted deal covers only a tiny fraction of what has to happen to actually get brexit done. Getting...
  • Commented on CASE NIGHTMARE BLONDE
    I'm no longer sure if I should feel bad that I have spent a lot of time working out how an individual can short the pound (it's relatively easy if you're solvent enough to borrow money against some security, but...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    The ice-age thing is interesting: I'd assumed that the variations in temperatures from cores were noise & in fact written some code to smooth it away, but from what you're saying they're not. Unfortunately the place I get the core...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    If there are forested plains then the altitude problem goes away (because then you need to move large horizontal distances, and can't cheat). I've quietly assumed there are: perhaps there aren't though, which would be interesting....
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    Squirrels and other foragers take seeds, acorns etc. and "squirrel" them away in holes, tree branches are ripped off in storms carrying acorns as much as several kilometres on the wind, branches fall in streams and are washed away in...
  • Commented on Someone please cancel 2019 already?
    It seems to me that the idea that politicians could possibly have any influence over the earth's chaotic climate system looks like a bourgeois liberal version of the anti-demographic impulses that you have ascribed to conservatives. So, OK, I realise...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    Your arguments just sound so similar to the ones people made about financial deregulation that I can't take them seriously. So, I think you're badly (and in fact dangerously) wrong, but I also don't think this is the right forum...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    the Fourth Reich, pardon me the EU OK, I think all useful conversation is now done....
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    That there are large companies which plan has nothing to do with the economy being planned, unless those companies become monopolies....
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    CharlesW: I think you have very rose-tinted spectacles if you think peace is still the primary vision of the EU (but I agree it was a great argument 30-40 years ago) I think you are making a standard mistake whose...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    I think you're probably right about uncontrolled costs, although it would be interesting to look at cost overruns in 19th century projects before we all get too romantic about things (I don't know how they compare). In the case of...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    Oh, that's not how it will go: there will be a full-scale nuclear war over resources and at that point it's all over....
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    There's a difference between serious and catastrophic (which is somewhere north of a couple of degrees, I don't think anyone really knows how far north). We are in for serious we could still stop catastrophic (at least, so our models...
  • Commented on Peak Brexit
    It's all about the whole 109 sacrifices I think. Because while we're all entranced by the country eating itself alive (post-no-deal-brexit that's going to be a disturbingly literal possibility), the news that actually matters is going unnoticed: about now, give...
  • Commented on Brexit! Means! Brexit!
    Do you have a citation for that? Note I am not disagreeing with you: I am delighted if it's true, although I'd always assumed that 'should we bring back hanging' is one of the questions, like, well, 'should we leave...
  • Commented on Brexit! Means! Brexit!
    Oh, well, I've always assumed that brexit is not really anything to do with ensuring a better future for almost anyone who lives in the UK (I mean the politicians who drove it, while clearly not the smartest, aren't that...
  • Commented on Brexit! Means! Brexit!
    So, there's a simple solution to this. Trump is kind of suggestible, isn't he, and he really doesn't like the EU (at least the Germans and the French) of course because they keep humiliating him in such a way that...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    I think you can be more specific than that: the market is reasonably good at predicting the future where the future is pretty like the present. It is really bad at predicting the future when the future is not at...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    Claiming 'market predictions are not 100% correct' is, while strictly true, fairly misleading: market predictions are often catastrophically bad. It is one of the many awkward truths about economics that the assumption that the markets price things in just does...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    If I had other EU citizenship I would not leave either, because if the bad thing happens I can just go (let's assume there's some warning before they close the borders). But I don't, because I'm British, so if the...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    And if fascism is a plausible end point then people who might end up as the targets (the elite, anyone not sufficiently 'british' for the normal not-so-crypto-racist version of that) needs to be planning to leave. If the bad thing...
  • Commented on That sinking feeling
    While I suspect nothing this bad will happen, I agree that it is quite possible that it will and it's worth trying to plan for. If it does, then the long-term consequences of something like this are, I think, terrifying....
  • Commented on Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe
    I think if it becomes more profitable to infest someone's machine with bitcoin mining code than sell them ads then it will be interesting to see what Google &co do: their business model currently revolves around selling adverts to peopl,...
  • Commented on Trapped in the wrong trouser-leg of time
    Unfortunately it probably doesn't matter very much which trouser-leg we're in. If we make the assumption that there isn't a large-scale nuclear war (which is obviously not so safe as it was), then perhaps the difference between Trump/Brexit and Clinton/Remain...
  • Commented on Crying fire in a crowded theatre for pleasure and profit
    You're assuming that because smoke hoods might only save some people in a flat if there were guests it would be better not to have them and let everyone die? (There would be an awkward question in the case of...
  • Commented on Crying fire in a crowded theatre for pleasure and profit
    I think this generalises in the obvious way: it's not really the news media, it's Googlebook: the more time people spend getting really furious and trolling/fighting trolls the mode adverts they see and the more money pours into their pockets....
  • Commented on 2117 revisited
    I think it's important to understand what [...] since 2007 it has increasing brought prosperity to an ever-smaller elite at the very apex while conditions stagnate or decline for everyone else [...] actually means. In particular it is informative to...
  • Commented on Popcorn Time
    The only way I can make sense of this is that May actually wants Scottish independence. Because the way she is treating the issue seems to be calculated to cause enough offence that people vote leave just to avoid being...
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